Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

61

Michael Pezzetta

Montreal Canadiens Left Wing

The fourth-worst chance share in this edition, and the second-largest finishing surplus per minute in it.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22MTL515611-7810004910.27:50
2022-23MTL637815-4770007010.09:19
2023-24MTL613912+459001427.17:48
2024-25 so far
Career175152338-72170011619.38:21

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

61 games, 3 goals and 9 assists for 12 points, 59 penalty minutes, 7:48 a night and plus-4. He took 37.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 468 minutes, the 1st percentile, and his ice went 20-16 against an expectation of 11.25-19.19.

That 37.0 per cent is the fourth-worst chance share of any skater in this edition with four hundred five-on-five minutes. His ice scored nine more goals than the chances were worth and conceded three fewer — a surplus per minute second only to Max Domi’s. Both halves of that are almost certainly noise, and the plus-4 out of the first percentile is one of the strangest lines in the book.

The Finesse Game

59 attempts at a median of 36 feet with 37 per cent from beyond 40, converted at 7.1 per cent against a career 9.32.

23 career assists in 175 games. Fifteen goals in three seasons is the record and the shot chart says why — a fourth-line winger shooting from beyond the dots. There is no offence here and none is asked for.

The Physical Game

He hits everything at 6-1 and 222 and 217 career penalty minutes in 175 games at under nine minutes a night is one of the higher rates in hockey.

He will fight anybody, takes liberties after the whistle, and is on the roster to do it. On a club that spends the fifth-most time shorthanded in the league that is a cost as well as a service.

The Intangibles

A sixth-round pick in 2016 out of Toronto, three seasons, and 38 points in 175 games, all of it for one organisation.

He is 26 and plays under eight minutes a night. On the second-youngest roster in this edition there is a case for a man who will answer for the twenty-year-olds, and there is a better case for the ice going to one of them.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 468 minutes

Expected goals
37%
1st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
42.5%
6th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 20 for, 16 against. Expected: 11.3 and 19.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
24th
Numbers
1st

The report ranks him 23 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 379 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 60 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 468 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
MTL took 46.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 37.0% — 9.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
468 minutes at five-on-five — 16th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jesse Ylönen38.0%36.3%39.7%
Johnathan Kovacevic37.9%36.5%47.8%
Jake Evans39.3%36.0%45.7%

38.0% together, 36.3% for him apart and 39.7% for Ylönen apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

59 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 22 feet. 27% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 37% from beyond forty.