This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Mavrik Bourque
Dallas Stars Center
A first full NHL season at 23 in twelve minutes a night, and 25 points to show for it.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | DAL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 10:56 |
| 2024-25 | DAL | 73 | 11 | 14 | 25 | +6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 80 | 13.8 | 12:41 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 74 | 11 | 14 | 25 | +6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 82 | 13.4 | 12:40 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
11 goals and 14 assists in 73 games for 25 points, plus-6, on 12:41 a night — his first full NHL season.
51.5 per cent at five-on-five, the 67th percentile, which is a perfectly respectable share for a rookie in bottom-six minutes. 80 shots from a median of 24 feet with 43 per cent inside 20.
The Finesse Game
A skilled, small-area player who was an American League scoring champion and has had to learn that the NHL does not give him that time. The hands and the vision are genuine — he sees a seam a beat before the man he is passing to does — and the shot is better than the goal total.
What has not translated yet is the pace of decision. He holds the puck a half-second longer than the league allows and loses it, which is the standard first-season problem and the one that decides whether he becomes a top-six forward or a useful thirteenth.
The Physical Game
5-11 and 187, and there is nothing here. He does not win pucks, does not forecheck heavily, and is removed from possessions by NHL defencemen without difficulty.
8 penalty minutes in 73 games. He will need to add strength simply to keep the puck long enough to use the skill.
The Intangibles
A first-round pick who dominated junior and the minors and has arrived at the level where that stops being enough. Nothing about the first season suggests he is discouraged by it.
The realistic projection is a middle-six forward with power-play value, and the realistic risk is the one that catches most 5-11 skill forwards: a club chasing a Cup does not have a lot of patience for a man learning to protect a puck.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 792 minutes
- Expected goals
- 51.5%
- 67th pct
- Shot attempts
- 51.9%
- 73rd pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 29 for, 31 against. Expected: 31.1 and 29.3.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 25 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 315 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2024-25 · 792 minutes at five-on-five
- Sam Steel31%
- Jamie Benn29%
- Oskar Bäck24%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- DAL took 50.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.5% — 0.8 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Second line, 792 minutes at five-on-five — 35th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Esa Lindell | 53.4% | 50.5% | 48.6% |
| Thomas Harley | 50.4% | 52.1% | 53.5% |
| Jamie Benn | 50.5% | 52.0% | 48.0% |
53.4% together, 50.5% for him apart and 48.6% for Lindell apart. Lindell was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Lindell than for him.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
128 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 44% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.