Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Matt Savoie

Photo by Mike Zitek/AHL, CC BY 2.0

Matt Savoie

Edmonton Oilers Center #22

Undersized, entirely unbothered by it, and the most promising young forward the organization has produced in a decade.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2023-24BUF1000000000—3:55
2024-25EDM4011-4000060.012:31
2025-26EDM82181937+62452513813.014:47
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—87182038+22452514412.514:33

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

18 goals and 37 points in all 82 games at 22 years old, on just under 15 minutes a night, with 5 power-play goals. For a player of his age and size in his first full season, that is a real result.

The Finesse Game

Everything starts with the feet. He is quick in a short space — three or four strides and a change of direction — which is what lets a 5-10 forward play in traffic without being erased. He protects the puck by moving it, not by shielding it, and he is very hard to line up in open ice.

The hockey sense is the part that has scouts optimistic. He finds the soft ice between layers of coverage and arrives there a half-second early, which is why he generates chances without needing the puck on his stick for long. The shot is quick and accurate from mid-range, and he is comfortable one-timing on the power play.

He is a natural center who has spent time on the wing, and the projection depends on whether he can hold up in the middle against grown men.

The Physical Game

5-10 and 179 and there is no getting around it. He is not going to win a battle on the wall against a heavy defenseman, and there are nights when a physical opponent takes him out of the game entirely. He does not shy away from any of it, which is admirable and will not by itself solve the problem.

The Intangibles

He was the ninth pick in 2022 and came to Edmonton for Ryan McLeod, a trade that looks better every year. Nothing about his development has been dramatic or rushed.

The read is straightforward: the skill is genuine, the compete is genuine, and the only real question is whether a player this size can be a top-6 center or ends up a very good winger. Either outcome is a good one for this team.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,021 minutes

Expected goals
50.3%
57th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.8%
55th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 48 for, 45 against. Expected: 46.1 and 45.6.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
86th
Numbers
57th

The report ranks him 29 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 79 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 82 games

Top speed
22.8 mph
76th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.59 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.35 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
81.3 mph
27th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

9

points in his last 10 games — 7 goals, 2 assists, 34 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1021 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
EDM took 51.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.3% — 1.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 1,021 minutes at five-on-five — 62nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Evan Bouchard52.9%48.3%60.1%
Mattias Ekholm57.7%44.9%58.5%
Darnell Nurse50.7%50.0%48.8%

52.9% together, 48.3% for him apart and 60.1% for Bouchard apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Bouchard and did not follow him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

197 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 18 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 43% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 16% from beyond forty.