Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Martin Necas

Photo by OISV, CC BY-SA 4.0

Martin Necas

Colorado Avalanche Center #88

A first-round pick who took 8 years to arrive and then scored 100 points.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18CAR1000000000—6:54
2018-19CAR711202000616.710:01
2019-20CAR64162036-6205038818.214:10
2020-21CAR53142741+251042311412.317:17
2021-22CAR78142640+5322161598.816:11
2022-23CAR82284371+53290524011.718:25
2023-24CAR77242953-94280323110.417:21
2024-25CAR/COL79275683+516120819413.919:00
2025-26COL783862100+473090520618.421:30
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—519162264426+7218449333123813.117:42

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

38 goals and 62 assists in 78 games for 100 points, plus-47, on 21 and a half minutes a night. He played 80 percent of his 5-on-5 ice time with MacKinnon.

The Finesse Game

The speed is the foundation and it is genuine — he is among the quickest forwards in the league with the puck, and he uses it to enter the zone with control rather than to chase dump-ins.

The hands work at that speed, which is what makes him more than a track athlete. He beats defencemen wide, cuts back into the middle, and has developed a quick, accurate release that he gets away while moving. 38 goals on 206 shots is a very high conversion rate.

The playmaking has come along with it. He now looks off a defenceman and finds the trailer, which he did not do 3 years ago.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 195, and he plays light. He does not forecheck with force, does not win pucks along the wall, and avoids the interior in his own end.

The Intangibles

He spent years in another organisation being told he was inconsistent and not defensively trustworthy, was traded, and immediately produced 100 points beside a superstar.

The honest question is how much of this travels. 80 percent of his minutes came with the best player on the team, and the reasonable read is that he is a genuinely excellent complementary winger rather than a driver. That is not a criticism — it is what 100-point season is worth knowing about.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    78 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    16:27 a game at five-on-five, 98th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    62% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 91st percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,283 minutes

Expected goals
57%
96th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
56.1%
93rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 90 for, 40 against. Expected: 72.5 and 54.6.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
89th
Numbers
96th

The two rank him within 7 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 78 games

Top speed
23.9 mph
98th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
4.46 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.72 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
93.4 mph
93rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

12

points in his last 10 games — 5 goals, 7 assists, 34 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1283 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
COL took 56.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 57.0% — 0.1 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,283 minutes at five-on-five — 87th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nathan MacKinnon58.4%48.5%61.4%
Cale Makar56.0%58.3%55.9%
Artturi Lehkonen59.8%54.3%56.9%

58.4% together, 48.5% for him apart and 61.4% for MacKinnon apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with MacKinnon and did not follow him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

313 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 42 of them goals. His median goal came from 23 feet. 32% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.