Mackie Samoskevich

The 93rd percentile, 12 goals, and a Stanley Cup organisation left behind.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2023-24	FLA	7	0	0	0	-3	0	0	0	0	11	0.0	12:02
2024-25	FLA	72	15	16	31	-4	12	4	0	5	129	11.6	13:19
2025-26	FLA	77	12	20	32	-5	30	4	0	1	161	7.4	14:28
2026-27 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	156	27	36	63	-12	42	8	0	6	301	9.0	13:50

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

12 goals and 20 assists in 77 games — 32 points, minus-5, at 14:28 a night with 4 power-play goals. His 5-on-5 work was done in Florida.

The Finesse Game

Clever and quick, with the puck skills of a first-round pick and a shot that has not yet caught up to them.

252 unblocked attempts produced only 12 goals — from a median of 28 feet with 37 per cent from inside 20, which is decent ice and a poor return.

20 assists in 14 minutes a night is the more encouraging half. 63 points in 156 career games.

The Physical Game

5-11, 180, and light. 30 penalty minutes.

He avoids the interior and works the perimeter and the half-wall, which is where the assists come from and also why the shooting numbers look like this.

The Intangibles

55.5 per cent of the expected goals, 90th percentile, and 57.3 per cent of the shot attempts, 95th, across 941 minutes — with the chances 43.3 to 34.7 in his favour.

Those are outstanding numbers and they were earned inside Florida’s structure, which is the caveat that attaches to every number that leaves that building.

He is 23, the 24th pick in 2021, and moves from the best-coached club in the league to one that finished in the bottom 5 in chance share. This is the single most interesting transfer on Seattle’s roster: if the underlying work travels, they have a top-6 winger. If it was the system, they have a 12-goal scorer.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
55.5% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 48.8% for his club in the minutes he sat: +6.7, 96th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 941 minutes

Expected goals: 55.5%; 90th pct
Shot attempts: 57.3%; 95th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 34 for, 33 against. Expected: 43.3 and 34.7.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted

Report

67th

Numbers

90th

The numbers rank him 23 points above where the report does. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 77 games

Top speed: 23.1 mph; 89th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 2.42 a game
Distance: 2.43 miles a game
Hardest shot: 89.7 mph; 82nd pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

points in his last 10 games — 6 goals, 3 assists, 21 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 with FLA · 941 minutes at five-on-five

Evan Rodriguesnow NJD36%
A.J. Greernow ANA31%
Sam Bennett27%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club: FLA took 50.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.5% — 5.1 above the club he did it on.
The role: First line, 941 minutes at five-on-five — 53rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Gustav Forsling	57.5%	54.3%	50.8%
Evan Rodrigues	60.1%	53.0%	51.0%
Anthony-John (AJ) Greer	60.1%	53.3%	51.3%

57.5% together, 54.3% for him apart and 50.8% for Forsling apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

252 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 12 of them goals. His median goal came from 31 feet. 37% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.