Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

72

Maxim Tsyplakov

New York Islanders Right Wing

An undrafted KHL free agent who arrived at 26 and posted the 84th percentile in chance share on a club that missed the playoffs.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2024-25NYI77102535+4391011168.614:58
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—77102535+4391011168.614:58

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

77 games in his first NHL season, 10 goals and 25 assists for 35 points at 14:58 a night, on 116 shots at 8.62 per cent. 39 penalty minutes. Plus-4.

A 52.8 per cent chance share is the 84th percentile in the league and the best of any forward here who played a full season, with on-ice goals of 41-39 against an expected 41.87-37.40. He controlled play and his line conceded ten fewer goals than the chances warranted. That is a first NHL season a great many first-round picks would take.

The Finesse Game

44 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet at a median of 22. He goes to the net and he shoots from there, and 8.62 per cent on 116 attempts is an ordinary conversion rate on a good location profile.

The passing is the better half — 25 assists at fifteen minutes a night, delivered on time and into space. He holds the puck an extra beat on the wall and finds the man arriving, which is a KHL habit that has translated without adjustment.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 203 and genuinely willing along the wall. He wins pucks he should not and he finishes checks, and 39 penalty minutes is slightly high for a fifteen-minute role.

The skating is the limitation and it is a real one — he is not going to beat an NHL defenceman wide, and everything he creates has to come from below the goal line or off a cycle.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, six seasons in the KHL, and signed as a free agent at 26 after leading Spartak Moscow in scoring.

He posted better underlying numbers than every forward on this roster except a man who played thirty games. That is a genuine find, and the age is why nobody bid for him — a 26-year-old rookie has no development curve left, only the season he just had.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “6-3 and 203 and genuinely willing along the wall. He wins pucks he should not”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “he finishes checks”

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “The passing is the better half — 25 assists at fifteen minutes a night, delivered on time and into space.”

  • transitionhe lacks it· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “he is not going to beat an NHL defenceman wide, and everything he creates has to come from below the goal line or off a cycle.”

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted, six seasons in the KHL, and signed as a free agent at 26 after leading Spartak Moscow in scoring.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 977 minutes

Expected goals
52.8%
76th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.1%
74th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 41 for, 39 against. Expected: 41.9 and 37.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
25th
Numbers
76th

The numbers rank him 51 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 77 games

Top speed
22.3 mph
53rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.97 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.37 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
88.5 mph
69th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 977 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
NYI took 49.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.8% — 2.9 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 977 minutes at five-on-five — 57th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Kyle Palmieri53.3%52.4%45.1%
Brock Nelson54.5%51.1%47.5%
Noah Dobson56.5%51.0%53.3%

53.3% together, 52.4% for him apart and 45.1% for Palmieri apart. Palmieri was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Palmieri than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

189 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 10 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 44% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 18% from beyond forty.