Armchair Hockey Scout Beta
10

Klim Kostin

San Jose Sharks Center

Six-four and 232 pounds, with the fifth-highest career shooting rate of anybody in this edition.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20STL4101+10000520.08:32
2020-21STL2011-10000013:48
2021-22STL40459-3230013112.99:01
2022-23EDM57111021+12660025619.610:04
2023-24DET/SJS528614-12530004318.610:55
2024-25 so far
Career155242246-314200313517.810:05

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

52 games across Detroit and San Jose, 8 goals and 6 assists for 14 points, 53 penalty minutes, 10:55 a night and minus-12. He took 44.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 536 minutes, the 22nd percentile, and his ice went 17-24 against an expectation of 18.71-23.66.

Within two goals of the chances at both ends. Eight goals on 43 shots is 18.6 per cent, which is the pattern of his whole career rather than one season of luck.

The Finesse Game

67 attempts at a median of 26 feet with 28 per cent of them from inside twenty, 43 of those on goal, converted at 18.6 per cent against a career 17.78 across 135 shots.

Twenty-four career goals on 135 career shots. A career 17.78 per cent is the fifth-highest rate of anybody in this edition with a hundred shots, and it comes from a man who takes barely one a night — he shoots only from places he expects to score from, which is either extreme discipline or a very small sample.

The Physical Game

He is 6-4 and 232 and took 53 penalty minutes.

142 career penalty minutes in 155 games. He is one of the largest forwards in this edition and plays like it — he runs people on the forecheck, fights, and is genuinely unpleasant to defend against in a confined space.

The Intangibles

Thirty-first overall in 2017 by St. Louis, five seasons, four organisations, and 46 points in 155 games.

A career minus-3 in 155 games. He is 25, he has been moved three times, and a first-round pick who is 6-4 and scores on nearly a fifth of his shots is the kind of player a club at the bottom should be finding out about.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 536 minutes

Expected goals
44.2%
17th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.3%
18th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 17 for, 24 against. Expected: 18.7 and 23.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
57th
Numbers
17th

The report ranks him 40 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with DET · 284 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
SJS took 40.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.2% — 3.4 above the club he did it on.
The role
536 minutes at five-on-five — 20th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Daniel Sprong46.1%43.3%44.6%
Christian Fischer52.9%40.6%43.4%
Mikael Granlund43.9%44.2%40.7%

46.1% together, 43.3% for him apart and 44.6% for Sprong apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

67 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 17 feet. 28% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.