This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Jordan Greenway
Buffalo Sabres Left Wing
Six-foot-six, 231 pounds, eleven points, and a club that traded for him anyway.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-18 | MIN | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 11:27 |
| 2018-19 | MIN | 81 | 12 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 109 | 11.0 | 13:38 |
| 2019-20 | MIN | 67 | 8 | 20 | 28 | +2 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 93 | 8.6 | 14:10 |
| 2020-21 | MIN | 56 | 6 | 26 | 32 | +5 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 7.5 | 15:48 |
| 2021-22 | MIN | 62 | 10 | 17 | 27 | +26 | 69 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 110 | 9.1 | 14:34 |
| 2022-23 | MIN/BUF | 62 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99 | 6.1 | 13:30 |
| 2023-24 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 334 | 42 | 81 | 123 | +15 | 227 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 495 | 8.5 | 14:13 |
This Season So Far
The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
6 goals and 5 assists in 62 games split between Minnesota and Buffalo — 11 points at 13:30 a night, minus-6, on 99 shots, converting at 6.06 per cent, and 26 penalty minutes.
47.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 779 minutes, the 35th percentile. His ice went 29-33 against an expectation of 29.29-32.28, which matches the chances almost exactly.
Eleven points is by some way the worst season of his career, against a previous best of 32.
The Finesse Game
99 attempts at a median of 25 feet, 41 per cent from inside 20, converting at 6.06 per cent off a 91.4 mph shot.
42 goals in 334 career games. He has never been a scorer and the club has never wanted him to be one. What he does with the puck is hold it — on the wall, below the goal line, until support arrives — and 81 career assists is the accounting of that.
The Physical Game
6-6 and 231, one of the largest forwards in the league, and he uses it properly: he is immovable on the cycle, he wins pucks along the boards against anybody, and he screens goaltenders by existing.
227 penalty minutes in 334 games. The skating is fair for the size at 22.6 mph, the 66th percentile. He is not a fighter and not an intimidator; he is a heavy forward who makes possession last, which is a rarer and more useful thing.
The Intangibles
Fiftieth overall in 2015 to Minnesota, out of Boston University, and an Olympian for the United States in 2018.
He is 26. Buffalo traded two draft picks for a 6-6 winger coming off an eleven-point season, which is a bet that the eleven points were injury and role rather than decline — and on a roster this light and this young, a forward who can hold a puck against grown men solves a problem nobody else here solves.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in
28.8% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 91st percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
“he is immovable on the cycle, he wins pucks along the boards against anybody, and he screens goaltenders by existing”
“he is immovable on the cycle, he wins pucks along the boards against anybody, and he screens goaltenders by existing”
“he screens goaltenders by existing”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 779 minutes
- Expected goals
- 47.6%
- 35th pct
- Shot attempts
- 45.8%
- 21st pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 29 for, 33 against. Expected: 29.3 and 32.3.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 10 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 120 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 62 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2022-23 with MIN · 560 minutes at five-on-five
- Joel Eriksson Ek59%
- Marcus Foligno49%
- Freddy Gaudreau29%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2022-23
- The club
- BUF took 49.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.6% — 2.2 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- 779 minutes at five-on-five — 37th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 50.5% | 45.3% | 53.2% |
| Marcus Foligno | 50.5% | 46.1% | 47.1% |
| Matt Dumba | 42.3% | 49.7% | 50.7% |
50.5% together, 45.3% for him apart and 53.2% for Eriksson Ek apart. He was worse away from Eriksson Ek, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Eriksson Ek did.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
139 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 10 feet. 42% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 29% from beyond forty.