Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

29

Jonatan Berggren

Detroit Red Wings Right Wing

24 points in 75 games at 25, from a winger the club keeps not quite trusting.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23DET67151328-14165009815.313:28
2023-24DET12246-120001414.310:52
2024-25DET75121224-13143018813.612:59
2025-26 so far
Career154292958-283280120014.513:02

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

12 goals and 12 assists in 75 games for 24 points, minus-13, on 12:59 a night.

47.4 per cent at five-on-five, the 26th percentile. 88 shots in 75 games is a low volume for a player with his skill, and 13.6 per cent conversion is a fair rate.

The Finesse Game

Genuine skill in a small area. He handles the puck well under pressure, sees a play, and has a release that works from the circle — the tools are those of a top-nine winger.

What has never translated is impact. 24 points in 75 games is a fourth-liner’s total and it is his third NHL season in that neighbourhood. He does not shoot enough and he defers when a play needs to be made.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 195, and he does not play to it. He avoids the wall, is a passenger on the forecheck, and gives up possession rather than absorbing a hit.

14 penalty minutes over 75 games. He is not in the traffic, and on a club that finished 26th in creating chances that is the problem.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick, a dominant American League season, and three years of being scratched and reinserted.

At 25 the pattern is becoming the answer. There is a useful third-line winger here if a coach commits to him; nobody has, across two coaching staffs, and that is usually informative.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 857 minutes

Expected goals
47.4%
27th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.4%
20th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 28 for, 26 against. Expected: 30.2 and 33.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
36th
Numbers
27th

The two rank him within 9 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 857 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
DET took 48.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.4% — 0.8 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 857 minutes at five-on-five — 41st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Vladimir Tarasenko50.8%43.8%45.3%
J.T. Compher48.0%47.0%42.4%
Simon Edvinsson46.5%47.8%49.6%

50.8% together, 43.8% for him apart and 45.3% for Tarasenko apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

141 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 12 of them goals. His median goal came from 24 feet. 35% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.