Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

29

Jonatan Berggren

Detroit Red Wings Right Wing

24 points in 75 games at 25, from a winger the club keeps not quite trusting.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23DET67151328-14165009815.313:28
2023-24DET12246-120001414.310:52
2024-25DET75121224-13143018813.612:59
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—154292958-283280120014.513:02

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

12 goals and 12 assists in 75 games for 24 points, minus-13, on 12:59 a night.

45.2 per cent at five-on-five, the 17th percentile. 88 shots in 75 games is a low volume for a player with his skill, and 13.6 per cent conversion is a fair rate.

The Finesse Game

Genuine skill in a small area. He handles the puck well under pressure, sees a play, and has a release that works from the circle — the tools are those of a top-nine winger.

What has never translated is impact. 24 points in 75 games is a fourth-liner’s total and it is his third NHL season in that neighbourhood. He does not shoot enough and he defers when a play needs to be made.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 195, and he does not play to it. He avoids the wall, is a passenger on the forecheck, and gives up possession rather than absorbing a hit.

14 penalty minutes over 75 games. He is not in the traffic, and on a club that finished 26th in creating chances that is the problem.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick, a dominant American League season, and three years of being scratched and reinserted.

At 25 the pattern is becoming the answer. There is a useful third-line winger here if a coach commits to him; nobody has, across two coaching staffs, and that is usually informative.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “He avoids the wall, is a passenger on the forecheck, and gives up possession rather than absorbing a hit.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “He avoids the wall, is a passenger on the forecheck, and gives up possession rather than absorbing a hit.”

  • hard-to-movehe lacks it· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “gives up possession rather than absorbing a hit”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 857 minutes

Expected goals
45.2%
17th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.6%
15th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 21 for, 29 against. Expected: 28.0 and 33.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
36th
Numbers
17th

The two rank him within 19 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 75 games

Top speed
21.9 mph
36th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.11 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.01 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
85.8 mph
50th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 857 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
DET took 48.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.2% — 3.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 857 minutes at five-on-five — 41st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Vladimir Tarasenko48.1%42.6%46.9%
J.T. Compher45.1%45.3%43.2%
Simon Edvinsson45.2%45.2%49.8%

48.1% together, 42.6% for him apart and 46.9% for Tarasenko apart. He was worse away from Tarasenko, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Tarasenko did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

141 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 12 of them goals. His median goal came from 24 feet. 35% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.