Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

26

Jimmy Vesey

New York Rangers Left Wing

Five hundred and eighty-three games, a career minus-54, and thirteen goals at 30.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17NYR80161127-132650611613.813:38
2017-18NYR79171128-182010413612.514:20
2018-19NYR81171835-62110415411.016:03
2019-20BUF6491120+1215012939.713:48
2020-21TOR/VAN505510-1410001588.612:43
2021-22NJD688715-24120221107.314:25
2022-23NYR81111425+13200141238.913:37
2023-24NYR80131326-42000411611.212:23
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—5839690186-54144742790610.613:55

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

80 games, 13 goals and 13 assists for 26 points, 4 game-winners, 20 penalty minutes, 12:23 a night and minus-4. He took 45.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 873 minutes, the 24th percentile, and his ice went 24-33 against an expectation of 29.33-35.14.

Five goals of scoring that did not arrive and two fewer conceded than the chances called for. A 24th-percentile chance share is the lowest of any regular forward on this roster.

The Finesse Game

161 attempts at a median of 21 feet with 48 per cent from inside 20, 116 on goal, converted at 11.2 per cent against a career 10.60.

90 career assists in 583 games. He gets to the net and there is nothing else in the offensive game — ninety assists in five hundred and eighty-three games is a fourth-liner’s record. Four game-winners is a large share of thirteen goals.

The Physical Game

He is 6-2 and 203 and forechecks hard without hurting anybody.

144 career penalty minutes in 583 games is a very low rate. He wins the wall, goes to the front of the net, and kills penalties with 4 career shorthanded goals.

The Intangibles

A third-round pick in 2012 by Nashville, out of Boston, four years at Harvard, eight seasons across five organisations, and 186 points in 583 games at a career minus-54.

He is 31 and this is his second spell in New York. A fourth-line winger who plays every night and scores thirteen is a useful thing on a club that needed nine of them.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    80 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    31% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 3rd percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He is 6-2 and 203 and forechecks hard without hurting anybody.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is 6-2 and 203 and forechecks hard without hurting anybody.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He wins the wall, goes to the front of the net, and kills penalties with 4 career shorthanded goals.”

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He wins the wall, goes to the front of the net, and kills penalties with 4 career shorthanded goals.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “He wins the wall, goes to the front of the net, and kills penalties with 4 career shorthanded goals.”

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “He gets to the net and there is nothing else in the offensive game — ninety assists in five hundred and eighty-three games is a fourth-liner's record.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 873 minutes

Expected goals
45.5%
24th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
44.4%
14th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 24 for, 33 against. Expected: 29.3 and 35.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
27th
Numbers
24th

The two rank him within 3 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 64 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 80 games

Top speed
22.1 mph
45th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
0.72 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.98 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
85.8 mph
43rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 873 minutes at five-on-five

  • Barclay Goodrownow SJS74%
  • Tyler Pitlickoff the roster32%
  • Nick Boninooff the roster14%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
NYR took 50.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.5% — 4.6 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 873 minutes at five-on-five — 47th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Barclay Goodrow44.1%49.4%27.5%
K'Andre Miller43.6%46.9%49.9%
Jacob Trouba43.3%46.9%49.4%

44.1% together, 49.4% for him apart and 27.5% for Goodrow apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Goodrow behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

161 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 13 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 48% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.