This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Jesper Bratt

A sixth-round pick at 5-10, seventy-three points, and every single team-mate took a better share of the chances with him than without.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2017-18	NJD	74	13	22	35	-16	18	4	1	2	100	13.0	15:15
2018-19	NJD	51	8	25	33	-8	6	1	0	1	91	8.8	15:10
2019-20	NJD	60	16	16	32	-6	6	1	0	2	101	15.8	13:59
2020-21	NJD	46	7	23	30	+4	8	2	0	1	101	6.9	16:05
2021-22	NJD	76	26	47	73	0	16	3	0	6	197	13.2	17:26
2022-23 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	307	70	133	203	-26	54	11	1	12	590	11.9	15:39

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

26 goals and 47 assists in seventy-six games — 73 points, at 17:26 a night, even on plus-minus on a club that was outscored by fifty-nine. 5-10 and 175 pounds, 162nd overall in 2016, five seasons, 307 games.

Forty-seven assists in seventy-six games, and 133 of his 203 career points are assists from a man taken 162nd overall.

The Finesse Game

2.96 even-strength points per 60 is the 93rd percentile and only a quarter of his points came on the power play. 8.92 shots per 60 is the 76th at 13.2 per cent.

56.7 per cent of the expected goals is the 36th-best of the 393 qualified forwards in the league. His ice went 61-52 against an expectation of 59.67-45.61, so the goals against were six worse than the chances — the goaltending, which is the entire New Jersey chapter.

And then the pair file, which is the strongest single reading in this batch. Every team-mate improves beside him and falls away from him:

Nico Hischier 59.9 with him and 50.2 without. Jack Hughes 59.4 and 47.8. Damon Severson 57.5 and 49.2. P.K. Subban 59.6 and 49.0. Ryan Graves 55.7 and 50.4. Dougie Hamilton 53.9 and 49.3. Dawson Mercer 53.6 and 48.4. Bratt himself never drops below 54.9 in any of those splits.

Seven regulars, seven improvements, no exceptions. On a club that finished 28th.

The Physical Game

1.18 hits per 60 is the 8th percentile and 1.36 blocks the 33rd. He is 175 pounds and there is nothing here.

0.36 penalties taken per 60 is the 17th percentile against 0.82 drawn, an 83rd-percentile net. Sixteen penalty minutes in seventy-six games.

The Intangibles

23.1 mph is the 87th percentile and 9.5 bursts over 20 mph per 60 the 85th, at 9.91 miles per 60, the 73rd. Genuinely quick, unusually for a scorer in this edition.

He is 24 with 203 points in 307 games. A 5-10 sixth-round pick who lifts every man he plays with is the most valuable thing on this roster and the least discussed, and the reason nobody discusses it is that the club conceded 307 goals around him.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
56.7% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 49.1% for his club in the minutes he sat: +7.6, 96th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“Forty-seven assists in seventy-six games, and 133 of his 203 career points are assists from a man taken 162nd overall.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,052 minutes

Expected goals: 56.7%; 93rd pct
Shot attempts: 53.9%; 83rd pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 61 for, 52 against. Expected: 59.7 and 45.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

81st

Numbers

93rd

The two rank him within 12 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 76 games

Top speed: 23.1 mph; 92nd pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 2.75 a game
Distance: 2.88 miles a game
Hardest shot: 90.1 mph; 67th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 1052 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club: NJD took 51.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 56.7% — 5.3 above the club he did it on.
The role: Second line, 1,052 minutes at five-on-five — 68th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Ryan Graves	55.7%	57.2%	50.4%
Nico Hischier	59.9%	54.9%	50.2%
Damon Severson	57.5%	56.2%	49.2%

55.7% together, 57.2% for him apart and 50.4% for Graves apart. Graves was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Graves than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

270 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 30 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 34% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 26% from beyond forty.