This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2024-25 report →
Jaycob Megna
Chicago Blackhawks Defense
One goal on fifty-six shots, and an 82.2 mph shot at the 5th percentile.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-17 | ANA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 15:20 |
| 2017-18 | ANA | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.0 | 15:43 |
| 2018-19 | ANA | 28 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 3.2 | 14:32 |
| 2021-22 | SJS | 44 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 5.0 | 19:07 |
| 2022-23 | SJS/SEA | 54 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +3 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 1.8 | 18:52 |
| 2023-24 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 141 | 4 | 21 | 25 | -2 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 134 | 3.0 | 17:45 |
This Season So Far
The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
1 goal and 11 assists in 54 games between San Jose and Seattle — 12 points at 18:52 a night, plus-3, with 21 penalty minutes.
52.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 923 minutes, the 70th percentile, which is much the best number he will show in this book and belongs largely to Seattle. His ice went 45-45 against an expectation of 40.39-36.59.
He signs in Chicago at 30, having played 141 NHL games across five seasons.
The Finesse Game
56 attempts at a median of 52 feet, 74 per cent from beyond forty. One goal, on 40 shots from beyond forty; nothing at all on the sixteen he took from closer in.
His shot is 82.2 mph, the 5th percentile. Four goals in 141 career games at a 2.99 per cent shooting rate.
This is as close to no offensive game as a regular defenceman gets, and the club signing him knows exactly that.
The Physical Game
6-6 and 214, which is a long, light frame rather than a heavy one, and he defends with reach rather than weight.
21.9 mph at the 30th percentile and 2.62 miles a game at the 55th. Nothing there is a strength and nothing is disqualifying at third-pair minutes.
The Intangibles
A seventh-round pick at 210th overall in 2012 who was 30 before he had played 141 NHL games.
That is a career built on being the recall who does not cost his club a goal, and 141 games of it is more than most seventh-rounders manage. On a club that conceded 301 goals, being unremarkable is a service.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
“he defends with reach rather than weight”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 923 minutes
- Expected goals
- 52.5%
- 71st pct
- Shot attempts
- 55.2%
- 91st pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 45 for, 45 against. Expected: 40.4 and 36.6.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 69 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 141 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 49 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2022-23 with SJS · 827 minutes at five-on-five
- Erik Karlssonnow PIT80%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2022-23
- The club
- SEA took 52.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.5% — 0.2 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- 923 minutes at five-on-five — 50th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Karlsson | 54.4% | 45.7% | 49.2% |
| Timo Meier | 55.1% | 50.7% | 55.2% |
| Tomas Hertl | 53.3% | 52.0% | 50.1% |
54.4% together, 45.7% for him apart and 49.2% for Karlsson apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
78 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 58 feet. 6% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 74% from beyond forty.