Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2024-25 report →

94

Jakub Lauko

Boston Bruins Center

Twenty-three games, four goals, and the lowest distance covered of any forward in the book.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23BOS23437+2110011723.58:52
2023-24 so far
Career23437+2110011723.58:52

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

4 goals and 3 assists in 23 games — 7 points at 8:52 a night, plus-2, on 17 shots, converting at 23.53 per cent, and 11 penalty minutes.

Four goals on seventeen shots is a rate that means nothing on that volume. 44.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 200 minutes, the 18th percentile — and two hundred minutes is not enough to describe anybody, which is the honest thing to say about this whole entry.

The Finesse Game

17 attempts at a median of 20 feet, off a shot measured at 82.1 mph, the 5th percentile, though on a 23-game sample from a 22-year-old the velocity figure is worth very little.

7 points in 23 career games. There is not enough NHL evidence here to grade the finesse game and the grades below reflect the junior and American League record more than anything seen in Boston.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 193 and he plays with more edge than the size suggests — 11 penalty minutes in 23 games, and he forechecks hard.

1.36 miles a game is the lowest figure of any forward in this book, which is almost entirely a function of an eight-minute fourth-line role rather than a description of his motor. 22.4 mph top end at the 58th percentile and 1.6 bursts a game at the 76th say he moves well when the shift asks.

The Intangibles

Seventy-seventh overall in 2018, out of Czechia, and he arrived after four seasons in the system.

He is 23. On a roster that has lost two centres and replaced them with a 34-year-old, a 35-year-old and a waiver claim, a cheap young forward who forechecks is likely to get more of a chance this season than his record has earned — which is the most useful thing this book can say about him.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “he plays with more edge than the size suggests — 11 penalty minutes in 23 games, and he forechecks hard”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 200 minutes

Expected goals
44.6%
19th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
40.9%
3rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 10 for, 8 against. Expected: 6.4 and 7.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
23rd
Numbers
19th

The two rank him within 4 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 58 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 56 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2022-23 · 200 minutes at five-on-five

  • Tomas Noseknow NJD63%
  • Nick Folignonow CHI30%
  • Garnet Hathawaynow PHI29%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2022-23

The club
BOS took 53.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.6% — 8.9 below the club he did it on.
The role
200 minutes at five-on-five — 0th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Connor Clifton35.9%49.7%51.9%
Hampus Lindholm39.1%47.9%56.8%
Brandon Carlo47.5%43.3%55.2%

35.9% together, 49.7% for him apart and 51.9% for Clifton apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

23 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 20 feet. 48% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 13% from beyond forty.