Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

28

Jack Roslovic

Carolina Hurricanes Center

Twenty-fifth overall in 2015, thirty-one points in fifty-nine games, and a career minus-twenty-seven.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17WPG1000-1000010.08:24
2017-18WPG315914+520013813.212:19
2018-19WPG7791524-245007412.29:45
2019-20WPG71121729+41210011710.314:54
2020-21CBJ48122234-11144018514.116:54
2021-22CBJ81222345+21240413116.814:17
2022-23CBJ77113344-14102221238.916:27
2023-24CBJ/NYR5992231-10160131177.715:33
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—44580141221-27701631168611.714:16

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

9 goals and 22 assists in 59 games for Columbus and the Rangers — 31 points at 15:33 a night, minus-10, with 1 shorthanded goal and 3 game-winners on 117 shots at 7.69 per cent, and 16 penalty minutes.

50.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 793 minutes, the 53rd percentile — the lowest of any forward on this roster who is not a fourth-liner. His ice went 37-41 against an expectation of 35.80-35.70 — ten goals of scoring missing and five conceded above expectation.

The Finesse Game

117 attempts at a median of 25 feet, with 34 per cent from inside 20 and 19 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 7.69 per cent against a career 11.66.

The skating is genuinely good and he carries the puck into the zone under control, which is what this club buys. 141 career assists against 80 goals in 445 games — he is a distributor and the finishing has never been reliable.

22 assists in 59 games is the best rate of his career.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 198. He does not forecheck with force, he does not win pucks on the wall, and he avoids contact rather than absorbing it.

16 penalty minutes in 59 games and 70 in 445 for his career is one of the lowest rates in this edition, and it is low because he is never in a battle.

The Intangibles

Twenty-fifth overall in 2015 by Winnipeg, and 445 games and 221 points at 27 across three clubs with a career minus-27.

He was signed here in the summer. A club that lost Teuvo Teravainen, Stefan Noesen and Jesper Fast in one off-season has replaced part of it with a first-round pick nobody has kept, and the system he is arriving into is the one thing most likely to make him look better than he has.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “**The skating is genuinely good and he carries the puck into the zone under control**, which is what this club buys.”

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “**141 career assists against 80 goals in 445 games** — he is a distributor and the finishing has never been reliable.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “**He does not forecheck with force, he does not win pucks on the wall, and he avoids contact rather than absorbing it.**”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “**He does not forecheck with force, he does not win pucks on the wall, and he avoids contact rather than absorbing it.**”

  • fouls-when-beatenhe lacks it· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “**16 penalty minutes in 59 games and 70 in 445 for his career** is one of the lowest rates in this edition, and it is low because he is never in a battle.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 793 minutes

Expected goals
50.1%
54th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.4%
67th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 37 for, 41 against. Expected: 35.8 and 35.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
24th
Numbers
54th

The numbers rank him 30 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 59 games

Top speed
22.8 mph
79th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
2.95 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.50 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
84.5 mph
36th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with CBJ · 550 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
NYR took 50.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.1% — level with the club he did it on.
The role
793 minutes at five-on-five — 38th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Boone Jenner49.0%51.0%48.1%
Johnny Gaudreau53.7%47.6%48.4%
Zach Werenski51.4%49.5%47.5%

49.0% together, 51.0% for him apart and 48.1% for Jenner apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

157 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 9 of them goals. His median goal came from 22 feet. 34% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.