This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2024-25 report →
Jack Johnson
Colorado Avalanche Defense
Forty per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 5th percentile, across 1,396 minutes.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006-07 | LAK | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.0 | 21:23 |
| 2007-08 | LAK | 74 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -19 | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 3.7 | 21:42 |
| 2008-09 | LAK | 41 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -18 | 46 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 12.0 | 20:17 |
| 2009-10 | LAK | 80 | 8 | 28 | 36 | -15 | 48 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 6.2 | 22:37 |
| 2010-11 | LAK | 82 | 5 | 37 | 42 | -21 | 44 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 153 | 3.3 | 23:12 |
| 2011-12 | LAK/CBJ | 82 | 12 | 26 | 38 | -7 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 176 | 6.8 | 23:46 |
| 2012-13 | CBJ | 44 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 96 | 5.2 | 25:58 |
| 2013-14 | CBJ | 82 | 5 | 28 | 33 | -7 | 48 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 147 | 3.4 | 24:41 |
| 2014-15 | CBJ | 79 | 8 | 32 | 40 | -13 | 44 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 141 | 5.7 | 24:10 |
| 2015-16 | CBJ | 60 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -16 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 86 | 7.0 | 24:11 |
| 2016-17 | CBJ | 82 | 5 | 18 | 23 | +23 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 116 | 4.3 | 21:49 |
| 2017-18 | CBJ | 77 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -6 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 88 | 3.4 | 19:33 |
| 2018-19 | PIT | 82 | 1 | 12 | 13 | -4 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 86 | 1.2 | 19:17 |
| 2019-20 | PIT | 67 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 63 | 4.8 | 19:28 |
| 2020-21 | NYR | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7.7 | 16:58 |
| 2021-22 | COL | 74 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +5 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 1.8 | 16:45 |
| 2022-23 | CHI/COL | 83 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -15 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 92 | 2.2 | 19:09 |
| 2023-24 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 1107 | 74 | 246 | 320 | -129 | 599 | 29 | 1 | 11 | 1580 | 4.7 | 21:39 |
This Season So Far
The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
2 goals and 6 assists in 83 games across Chicago and Colorado, minus-15, 19:09 a night.
40.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,396 minutes — the 5th percentile. His ice went 38-59 against an expectation of 43.92-64.58: the goals were bad and the chances were worse, which means the record is not bad luck.
Seventeen seasons, 1,107 games, 320 points, and 1,396 minutes at even strength last year at the age of 36. Somebody keeps playing him, and last season it was two clubs.
The Finesse Game
92 shots at a median of 50 feet, 74 per cent from beyond forty, 9 per cent from inside twenty.
Beyond forty: 69 shots on goal, two goals. Inside forty: 22 shots, none. Two goals in 83 games from a defenceman taking ninety-two shots is a rate that would be notable on its own; the distribution explains it.
He was drafted third overall in 2005 as an offensive defenceman and has 74 goals in seventeen years. That projection failed a long time ago and everyone involved has made peace with it.
The Physical Game
6-2 and 225. 23.2 mph at the 90th percentile — genuinely quick in a straight line — against 0.3 bursts over twenty a game at the 9th, and 2.59 miles a game at the 52nd.
That combination is worth pausing on. He can reach a high speed and almost never does, and he covers ordinary distance. The reading available is that he is not being asked to skate, or is not able to sustain it; the feed cannot tell which, and neither can this book.
28 penalty minutes in 83 games is low, and at his age it reads as a man who has stopped chasing what he cannot catch.
The Intangibles
Third overall in 2005, an Olympian, and one of the more durable careers of his generation at 1,107 games.
He played 83 games last season because Manson missed 55 and Byram missed 40. That is the reason and it is not a compliment. On a club with a healthy blue line he is a seventh defenceman, and Colorado spent a season proving what happens when he is not.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- durable· was available
83 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
- hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best
39% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 7th percentile among defencemen
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
“the goals were bad and the chances were worse, which means the record is not bad luck”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 1,396 minutes
- Expected goals
- 40.5%
- 5th pct
- Shot attempts
- 41.9%
- 5th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 38 for, 59 against. Expected: 43.9 and 64.6.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 638 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 46 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2022-23 · 83 games
- Top speed
- 23.2 mph
- 96th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 0.27 a game
- Distance
- 2.59 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 92.2 mph
- 53rd pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.5
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 90.0
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2022-23 with CHI · 1002 minutes at five-on-five
- Seth Jones24%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2022-23
- The club
- COL took 52.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 40.5% — 12.0 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- 1,396 minutes at five-on-five — 93rd percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Murphy | 36.7% | 41.8% | 43.9% |
| Philipp Kurashev | 32.5% | 42.7% | 45.0% |
| Andreas Athanasiou | 39.1% | 40.8% | 43.9% |
36.7% together, 41.8% for him apart and 43.9% for Murphy apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
116 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 54 feet. 9% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 74% from beyond forty.