Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Jack Hughes

Photo by YESNetwork, CC BY 3.0

Jack Hughes

New Jersey Devils Center #86

77 points in 61 games, and 19 in his last 10.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20NJD6171421-26104021235.715:52
2020-21NJD56112031-3161011427.819:04
2021-22NJD49263056-16060216515.819:34
2022-23NJD78435699+10690633612.819:58
2023-24NJD62274774-12129042749.820:58
2024-25NJD62274370+121861722911.820:54
2025-26NJD6127507701041522811.821:19
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—429168260428-357239227149711.219:42

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

27 goals and 50 assists in 61 games — 77 points, even in plus-minus, at 21:19 a night. 21 games missed. 10 penalty minutes all season.

The Finesse Game

The skating is the best in this book and it is not an argument. He accelerates in 2 strides, he changes direction at full speed without losing the puck, and defencemen who close on him find the gap has already moved.

The passing is the equal of it. 50 assists in 61 games, most made at a pace nobody else on the ice is playing at.

The shot has become genuinely good: 306 unblocked attempts, 27 goals, median 24 feet with 37 per cent from inside 20. He used to defer; he no longer does.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 175 pounds, and it is the whole of the risk. 10 penalty minutes in 61 games — he is never in anything. He avoids contact by design and is genuinely hard to hit, which works until a series where somebody makes it the plan.

21 games missed, and this is not the first season of that.

The Intangibles

53.9 per cent of the expected goals, 82nd percentile, with the chances 50.7 to 43.4 in his favour — and the actual goals 42 for and 49 against.

That is a 20-goal hole, and it is the whole New Jersey season. The club scored 136 5-on-5 goals against 173.9 expected, the worst finishing in the league by a distance.

19 points in his last 10 games, 8 of them goals. He is 25 and the best player on this roster by some way. Almost nothing on his record last season describes him.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.16 penalty minutes a game over 61, 9th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    53.9% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 49.1% for his club in the minutes he sat: +4.8, 90th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    17:16 a game at five-on-five, 100th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    73% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 100th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,053 minutes

Expected goals
53.9%
82nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
55.8%
92nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 42 for, 49 against. Expected: 50.7 and 43.4.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
89th
Numbers
82nd

The two rank him within 7 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 61 games

Top speed
22.5 mph
63rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.10 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.76 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
83.7 mph
42nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

19

points in his last 10 games — 8 goals, 11 assists, 47 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1053 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
NJD took 50.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.9% — 3.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,053 minutes at five-on-five — 66th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jesper Bratt54.7%51.9%55.2%
Connor Brown52.6%54.7%46.3%
Luke Hughes60.5%50.2%46.4%

54.7% together, 51.9% for him apart and 55.2% for Bratt apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

306 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 27 of them goals. His median goal came from 23 feet. 38% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 12% from beyond forty.