Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

28

Kyle Burroughs

Los Angeles Kings Defense

The worst on-ice goal differential of anybody in this edition, at 40-80.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2020-21COL5011+1500030.010:05
2021-22VAN42145-339000392.612:56
2022-23VAN48235-462000474.317:22
2023-24SJS73268-4271001792.519:09
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—16851419-481770011683.016:49

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

73 games in San Jose, 2 goals and 6 assists for 8 points, 71 penalty minutes, 19:09 a night and minus-42. He took 43.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,278 minutes, the 15th percentile, and his ice went 40-80 against an expectation of 48.58-61.97, all of it with the Sharks.

Minus-40 at five-on-five is the worst on-ice goal differential of anybody in this edition. Nine goals of scoring that did not arrive and eighteen more conceded than the chances called for, which is a bad assignment made worse by the goaltending behind it.

The Finesse Game

79 shots at a median of 50 feet with 76 per cent from beyond 40, converted at 2.5 per cent against a career 3.0.

14 career assists in 168 games. There is no puck-moving here and nineteen career points in four seasons says so. He is on the roster for what he does without it.

The Physical Game

He hits everything at 6-0 and 193 and 177 career penalty minutes in 168 games is what that costs.

He will fight, he clears the crease, and he takes liberties on men who have already been beaten. On a club whose penalty kill was 21st, seventy-one minutes from a third pairing is a real charge.

The Intangibles

A seventh-round pick in 2013 out of Vancouver, four seasons across three organisations, and 19 points in 168 games.

He is 29 and the fourth checking defenceman this club added in a summer. Nineteen minutes a night was San Jose’s problem rather than his, and nineteen minutes a night is not what should be asked of him here.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    43.9% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 39.3% for his club in the minutes he sat: +4.6, 92nd percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He hits everything at 6-0 and 193 and 177 career penalty minutes in 168 games is what that costs.”

  • nastya strength· hard to play against; the edge is the point

    “He will fight, he clears the crease, and he takes liberties on men who have already been beaten.”

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He will fight, he clears the crease, and he takes liberties on men who have already been beaten.”

  • takes-libertiesa strength· crosses the line and knows where it is

    “He will fight, he clears the crease, and he takes liberties on men who have already been beaten.”

  • transitionhe lacks it· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “There is no puck-moving here and nineteen career points in four seasons says so.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,278 minutes

Expected goals
43.9%
15th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.7%
20th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 40 for, 80 against. Expected: 48.6 and 62.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
5th
Numbers
15th

The two rank him within 10 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 55 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 73 games

Top speed
21.1 mph
25th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.14 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.68 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
93.3 mph
61st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with SJS · 1278 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
SJS took 40.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 43.9% — 3.1 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,278 minutes at five-on-five — 88th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Mario Ferraro47.1%41.8%41.2%
Fabian Zetterlund45.2%43.4%40.2%
William Eklund49.0%42.0%40.2%

47.1% together, 41.8% for him apart and 41.2% for Ferraro apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

119 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 34 feet. 6% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 76% from beyond forty.