Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

22

Christian Dvorak

Philadelphia Flyers Center

Nine seasons, 534 games, and a fourth-line centre signed in the summer to take the hard draws.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17ARI78151833+7222018817.115:37
2017-18ARI78152237-19222021519.916:26
2018-19ARI20257-22101258.014:23
2019-20ARI70182038+61260213413.416:42
2020-21ARI56171431-11128149517.918:24
2021-22MTL56112233-19241018712.617:22
2022-23MTL64101828-1260118811.416:52
2023-24MTL30549-541003514.315:32
2024-25MTL82122133-51610010411.515:15
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—534105144249-601202221280713.016:24

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

12 goals and 21 assists in 82 games for Montreal — 33 points at 15:15 a night, minus-5, on 16 penalty minutes. It is the first fully healthy season he has played since 2020-21.

Philadelphia signed him in the summer for the bottom of the lineup, on a club that had just lost Scott Laughton, Morgan Frost and Ryan Poehling out of the middle in the space of four months.

The Finesse Game

104 attempts and 12 goals at 11.5 per cent. The shot is functional and the release is quick, and he has scored between 10 and 18 goals in every full season of his career.

The value is the draw and the defensive read. He wins the faceoff that starts the shift, he makes the safe first pass, and 21 assists is what a third-line centre produces when he is not being asked to create.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 190 and neither heavy nor easily removed. He is not a forechecker in the punishing sense and he does not finish checks.

16 penalty minutes in 82 games is a very low rate. He comes back, he can be trusted with a lead, and he kills penalties.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick in 2014, 534 games across two organisations, and a career that lost most of three seasons to shoulder, knee and pectoral injuries between 2021 and 2024.

He is 29. The signing is not interesting and it is exactly what a club that lost three centres in a calendar year needed to do.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • faceoffsa strength· takes the draw that starts it

    “He wins the faceoff that starts the shift, he makes the safe first pass, and 21 assists is what a third-line centre produces when he is not being asked to create.”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “He comes back, he can be trusted with a lead, and he kills penalties.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “He comes back, he can be trusted with a lead, and he kills penalties.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is not a forechecker in the punishing sense and he does not finish checks.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 958 minutes

Expected goals
48.6%
40th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.7%
16th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 32 for, 43 against. Expected: 38.7 and 40.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
25th
Numbers
40th

The two rank him within 15 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed
22.5 mph
63rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.30 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.49 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
79.6 mph
18th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with MTL · 958 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
MTL took 48.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.6% — level with the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 958 minutes at five-on-five — 55th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brendan Gallagher52.7%37.4%50.3%
Josh Anderson49.2%47.4%47.5%
Mike Matheson45.2%50.5%47.1%

52.7% together, 37.4% for him apart and 50.3% for Gallagher apart. He was worse away from Gallagher, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Gallagher did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

162 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 12 of them goals. His median goal came from 22 feet. 44% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 18% from beyond forty.