Armchair Hockey Scout

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2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Declan Carlile

Photo by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0

Declan Carlile

Pittsburgh Penguins Defense #72

Undrafted, 46 games, and 2 goals.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2023-24TBL1000+100000—11:27
2024-25TBL3101+20000333.313:00
2025-26TBL42123+540000333.014:47
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—46224+840000365.614:36

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

1 goal and 2 assists in 42 games — 3 points, plus-5, at 14:47 a night with 40 penalty minutes. His 5-on-5 work was done in Tampa.

The Finesse Game

50 unblocked attempts from a median of 49 feet, 8 per cent from inside 20, 1 goal. 4 points in 46 career games.

2 assists in 42 games. There is no offensive game and the role does not want one.

The Physical Game

6-3, 190, and light for the height, but he plays hard — 40 penalty minutes in 42 games is a high rate for a third-pair defenceman and the clearest thing on the page.

He blocks shots and competes in front of his own net.

The Intangibles

49.5 per cent of the expected goals, 50th percentile, and 49.3 per cent of the shot attempts, 50th, across 575 minutes on a good Tampa club.

Dead average, which for an undrafted defenceman in his first real season is a perfectly respectable outcome.

5 points in his last 10. He is 26, undrafted out of Merrimack, and a sixth or seventh defenceman. Pittsburgh needs several of those behind 2 men in their late thirties.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 575 minutes

Expected goals
49.5%
50th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.3%
51st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 24 for, 20 against. Expected: 20.8 and 21.2.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
11th
Numbers
50th

The numbers rank him 39 points above where the report does. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 64 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 42 games

Top speed
21.7 mph
53rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.48 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.11 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
85.8 mph
27th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

0

points in his last 10 games — 0 goals, 0 assists, 17 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 with TBL · 575 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
TBL took 53.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.5% — 4.4 below the club he did it on.
The role
575 minutes at five-on-five — 23rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Max Crozier54.8%44.9%53.4%
Jake Guentzel57.9%46.0%53.7%
Nikita Kucherov51.6%48.5%58.7%

54.8% together, 44.9% for him apart and 53.4% for Crozier apart. He was worse away from Crozier, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Crozier did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

50 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 35 feet. 10% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 64% from beyond forty.