Logan Brown
St. Louis Blues Center
A first-round pick at 6-7 with sixty-nine NHL games in five calendar years.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-18 | OTT | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 8:08 |
| 2018-19 | OTT | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 10:31 |
| 2019-20 | OTT | 23 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 4.3 | 11:45 |
| 2020-21 | OTT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 9:40 |
| 2021-22 | STL | 39 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 11.8 | 10:11 |
| 2022-23 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 69 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 63 | 7.9 | 10:35 |
This Season So Far
The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
39 games, 4 goals and 7 assists at 10:11 a night, minus-3, eight penalty minutes, 34 shots. Eleventh overall in 2016 by Ottawa, five seasons, 69 games, 20 points.
Three hundred and eighty-four minutes of five-on-five ice is well short of the five hundred this book requires before it will place a man in the league distribution, so what follows is described rather than ranked.
The Finesse Game
Sixty-six per cent of his attempts came from inside twenty feet at a 15-foot median, at 6-7 and 229 pounds.
That is the shortest median shot of any forward on this roster and none of his thirty-four attempts came from beyond forty feet. He shoots from the paint or not at all.
50.6 per cent of the expected goals across 384 five-on-five minutes, which is the fifth-best figure among St Louis forwards, out of 44.9 per cent offensive-zone starts — eighty-four attacking starts against 103 in his own end.
His ice went 12-15 against an expectation of 16.01-15.61, so the goals ran four short in front on a sample too small to mean anything.
Beside Nathan Walker the pair took 63.1 per cent of the expected goals across 217 attempts, which is one of the highest pair figures in the club’s file and rests on a fifth of a season from two men who played sixty-nine games between them.
The Physical Game
6-7 and 229 pounds, and eight penalty minutes in thirty-nine games. Fourteen across a sixty-nine-game career. He is one of the largest men in the league and there is nothing physical in the record.
The Intangibles
22.8 mph top speed and 1.1 bursts a game, drawn from thirty-nine games.
1.74 miles a game is the 5th percentile of the 568 skaters the tracking covers, which at ten minutes a night is the shift.
His shot is 80.7 mph. Only ten of the 557 skaters who qualify for this book’s tracking pool were measured under eighty-one, so the softest shot on this roster is close to the softest in the league — and he shoots exclusively from the paint.
He is 24, eleventh overall in 2016, and has sixty-nine NHL games and twenty points across five calendar years. The size and the shot chart are the case for another look. The softest shot in the room, the least ground covered and five years without a foothold are why the eleventh pick of a draft is a fourth-line centre on his second club.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
“Sixty-six per cent of his attempts came from inside twenty feet at a 15-foot median, at 6-7 and 229 pounds.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 384 minutes
- Expected goals
- 50.6%
- 60th pct
- Shot attempts
- 46%
- 21st pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 12 for, 15 against. Expected: 16.0 and 15.6.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 22 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 58 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 39 games
- Top speed
- 22.8 mph
- 84th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.08 a game
- Distance
- 1.74 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 80.7 mph
- 23rd pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.1
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2021-22 · 384 minutes at five-on-five
- Brandon Saad23%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2021-22
- The club
- STL took 48.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.6% — 2.4 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- 384 minutes at five-on-five — 12th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Parayko | 51.3% | 50.3% | 46.3% |
| Nathan Walker | 63.1% | 45.0% | 51.6% |
| Robert Bortuzzo | 47.9% | 51.7% | 50.6% |
51.3% together, 50.3% for him apart and 46.3% for Parayko apart. Parayko was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Parayko than for him.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
50 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 10 feet. 66% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.