Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

36

Colin White

San Jose Sharks Center

Zero points in 28 games across two clubs, from a man who had 41 at 22.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17OTT20000000010.013:43
2017-18OTT21246+18001248.313:21
2018-19OTT71142741-242450212311.416:12
2019-20OTT6171623-1239100838.415:42
2020-21OTT4510818-6162006914.514:41
2021-22OTT243710-114201476.415:20
2022-23FLA6887150120006412.59:38
2023-24PIT/MTL28000-54000160.09:32
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—3204469113-57107100442710.313:39

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

28 games across Pittsburgh and Montreal, no goals and no assists, 4 penalty minutes, 9:32 a night and minus-5. He took 45.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 249 minutes, the 25th percentile, and his ice went 4-8 against an expectation of 7.86-9.29.

Four goals of finishing below what the chances were worth across two hundred and fifty minutes. Sixteen shots on goal and no points in 28 games is the season, and there is no way to describe it more kindly.

The Finesse Game

33 attempts at a median of 25 feet with 39 per cent of them from inside twenty, 16 of those on goal, converted at nothing at all, against a career 10.30 per cent across 427 shots.

Forty-four career goals and 69 assists in 320 games, 41 points of it in 2018-19 at 22. He was a genuine second-line centre for one season and has not been close since; the skill has not obviously gone and the production has.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 195 and took 4 penalty minutes.

107 career penalty minutes in 320 games. He is an ordinary-sized centre without much physical dimension to his game; everything depends on making a play with the puck, and at nine and a half minutes a night there are not many chances to make one.

The Intangibles

Twenty-first overall in 2015 by Ottawa, eight seasons, and San Jose will be his fifth organisation.

A career minus-57 in 320 games. He is 27, he had 41 points at 22, and a club that finished last is exactly where a first-round pick goes to find out whether there is anything left.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is an ordinary-sized centre without much physical dimension to his game; everything depends on making a play with the puck, and at nine and a half minutes a night there are not many chances to make one.”

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “Forty-four career goals and 69 assists in 320 games, 41 points of it in 2018-19 at 22.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 249 minutes

Expected goals
45.8%
26th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.8%
21st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 4 for, 8 against. Expected: 7.9 and 9.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
35th
Numbers
26th

The two rank him within 9 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 28 games

Top speed
22.1 mph
47th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
1.21 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.57 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
81.0 mph
23rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with MTL · 148 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
MTL took 46.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.8% — 0.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
249 minutes at five-on-five — 3rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Rafael Harvey-Pinard33.3%49.0%45.0%
Tanner Pearson50.8%44.0%39.4%
Michael Pezzetta27.9%49.1%37.8%

33.3% together, 49.0% for him apart and 45.0% for Harvey-Pinard apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

33 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 0 of them goals. 39% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.