Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

15

Colin Blackwell

Dallas Stars Center

5-8, 181 pounds, 32 years old, and a fourth-liner who was on the ice for 29 goals and 21 against.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19NSH6000-1200050.09:44
2019-20NSH273710+710000319.710:57
2020-21NYR47121022+2153026418.814:00
2021-22SEA/TOR581010200140217713.011:56
2022-23CHI532810-166000533.811:48
2023-24CHI448412-210102889.114:30
2024-25DAL6361117+416020639.511:34
2025-26 so far
Career298415091-67344538110.812:24

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

6 goals and 11 assists in 63 games for 17 points, plus-4, on 11:34 a night with 2 shorthanded goals.

50.4 per cent at five-on-five, the 56th percentile, and on-ice goals of 29-21 against an expected 21-21. That is a fourth line getting good goaltending, and it should be read that way rather than as a bottom-six forward driving results.

The Finesse Game

Quick feet and no finish. 63 shots and 6 goals, and the hands are ordinary for the level — he is on an NHL roster because of pace and effort rather than skill.

48 per cent of his attempts come from inside 20 feet, which for a man his size means he is going to places that cost him. The 2 shorthanded goals are the game in miniature: he is dangerous when the other club is careless, and not otherwise.

The Physical Game

5-8 and 181, one of the smallest players in the league, and he plays as though he does not know it. He finishes checks on men 40 pounds heavier, he blocks shots, and he gets to the net front.

16 penalty minutes over 63 games. The body has taken the price — he has not played a full season in years and has spent time on the injured list in most of them.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, Harvard, seven organisations, and an NHL job at 32 that nobody handed him. He is the sort of player a coach names when asked who sets the standard in practice.

The projection is a thirteenth forward with penalty-kill value, and the risk is simply the calendar. A game built entirely on effort and pace at 5-8 does not have many years left in it.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 580 minutes

Expected goals
50.4%
57th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.4%
77th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 29 for, 21 against. Expected: 21.1 and 20.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
54th
Numbers
57th

The two rank him within 3 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 315 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 580 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
DAL took 50.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.4% — 0.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 580 minutes at five-on-five — 21st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Oskar Bäck49.0%53.7%49.0%
Sam Steel48.1%53.1%50.4%
Esa Lindell52.1%49.6%49.1%

49.0% together, 53.7% for him apart and 49.0% for Bäck apart. He was better away from Bäck, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Bäck.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

77 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 48% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 26% from beyond forty.