This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Blake Coleman
Calgary Flames Left Wing
39 points and 15 goals on 194 shots, and an on-ice goal differential 13 worse than the chances deserved.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-17 | NJD | 23 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 3.5 | 12:51 |
| 2017-18 | NJD | 79 | 13 | 12 | 25 | +7 | 50 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 146 | 8.9 | 14:24 |
| 2018-19 | NJD | 78 | 22 | 14 | 36 | -19 | 71 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 213 | 10.3 | 17:01 |
| 2019-20 | NJD/TBL | 66 | 21 | 11 | 32 | 0 | 56 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 200 | 10.5 | 16:43 |
| 2020-21 | TBL | 55 | 14 | 17 | 31 | +15 | 37 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 122 | 11.5 | 15:28 |
| 2021-22 | CGY | 81 | 16 | 17 | 33 | +16 | 60 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 212 | 7.5 | 14:49 |
| 2022-23 | CGY | 82 | 18 | 20 | 38 | +9 | 54 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 188 | 9.6 | 15:12 |
| 2023-24 | CGY | 78 | 30 | 24 | 54 | +19 | 76 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 191 | 15.7 | 17:08 |
| 2024-25 | CGY | 82 | 15 | 24 | 39 | -2 | 36 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 194 | 7.7 | 17:41 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 624 | 150 | 140 | 290 | +38 | 467 | 12 | 18 | 25 | 1495 | 10.0 | 15:56 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
15 goals and 24 assists in 82 games for 39 points, minus-2, on 17:41 a night and 194 shots.
51.8 per cent at five-on-five, the 68th percentile, with on-ice goals of 32-40 against an expected 46-43 — 15 goals of finishing and goaltending removed from a line that was winning its minutes. 7.7 per cent shooting on 194 attempts is roughly half his career rate.
The Finesse Game
Not a skill player and never has been. The release is decent and the volume is high — 194 shots from a fourth-year checking winger is a lot — and 46 per cent of his attempts came from inside 20 feet.
15 goals from that is bad luck rather than decline. 24 assists is a fair return. Everything he produces comes from getting to the front of the net and arriving first on a forecheck.
The Physical Game
5-11 and 199, and he plays a genuinely hard game. He forechecks at speed, finishes checks, blocks shots, and is one of the more reliable defensive forwards in the league.
36 penalty minutes over 82 games is disciplined for the style. The durability is exceptional — six straight seasons above 75 games.
The Intangibles
Two Cups, a decade of being the player every contender wants for a series, and a reputation for being exactly the same in April as in November.
At 33 the projection is a decline in the legs and no change in anything else. 39 points is close to what he is now, and the 15 goals should have been 22.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- durable· was available
82 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
“He forechecks at speed, finishes checks, blocks shots, and is one of the more reliable defensive forwards in the league.”
“He forechecks at speed, finishes checks, blocks shots, and is one of the more reliable defensive forwards in the league.”
“He forechecks at speed, finishes checks, blocks shots, and is one of the more reliable defensive forwards in the league.”
“He forechecks at speed, finishes checks, blocks shots, and is one of the more reliable defensive forwards in the league.”
“Everything he produces comes from getting to the front of the net and arriving first on a forecheck.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,122 minutes
- Expected goals
- 51.8%
- 69th pct
- Shot attempts
- 53.6%
- 87th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 32 for, 40 against. Expected: 45.9 and 42.7.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 19 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games
- Top speed
- 22.3 mph
- 51st pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 0.98 a game
- Distance
- 2.84 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 82.9 mph
- 32nd pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 83.9
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2024-25 · 1122 minutes at five-on-five
- Connor Zary25%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- CGY took 48.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.8% — 3.1 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Second line, 1,122 minutes at five-on-five — 78th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mikael Backlund | 52.8% | 49.6% | 48.0% |
| Rasmus Andersson | 50.0% | 53.4% | 47.8% |
| Matt Coronato | 53.2% | 50.8% | 48.9% |
52.8% together, 49.6% for him apart and 48.0% for Backlund apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
278 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 15 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 47% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.