Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

20

Blake Coleman

Calgary Flames Left Wing

39 points and 15 goals on 194 shots, and an on-ice goal differential 13 worse than the chances deserved.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17NJD23112-727000293.512:51
2017-18NJD79131225+7500321468.914:24
2018-19NJD78221436-197133321310.317:01
2019-20NJD/TBL6621113205613220010.516:43
2020-21TBL55141731+153711312211.515:28
2021-22CGY81161733+16600122127.514:49
2022-23CGY82182038+9540221889.615:12
2023-24CGY78302454+197634719115.717:08
2024-25CGY82152439-2364141947.717:41
2025-26 so far
Career624150140290+38467121825149510.015:56

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

15 goals and 24 assists in 82 games for 39 points, minus-2, on 17:41 a night and 194 shots.

51.7 per cent at five-on-five, the 68th percentile, with on-ice goals of 31-41 against an expected 46-43 — 15 goals of finishing and goaltending removed from a line that was winning its minutes. 7.7 per cent shooting on 194 attempts is roughly half his career rate.

The Finesse Game

Not a skill player and never has been. The release is decent and the volume is high — 194 shots from a fourth-year checking winger is a lot — and 46 per cent of his attempts came from inside 20 feet.

15 goals from that is bad luck rather than decline. 24 assists is a fair return. Everything he produces comes from getting to the front of the net and arriving first on a forecheck.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 199, and he plays a genuinely hard game. He forechecks at speed, finishes checks, blocks shots, and is one of the more reliable defensive forwards in the league.

36 penalty minutes over 82 games is disciplined for the style. The durability is exceptional — six straight seasons above 75 games.

The Intangibles

Two Cups, a decade of being the player every contender wants for a series, and a reputation for being exactly the same in April as in November.

At 33 the projection is a decline in the legs and no change in anything else. 39 points is close to what he is now, and the 15 goals should have been 22.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,122 minutes

Expected goals
51.7%
69th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53.4%
86th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 31 for, 41 against. Expected: 46.0 and 42.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
86th
Numbers
69th

The two rank him within 17 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 315 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1122 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
CGY took 48.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.7% — 3.0 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,122 minutes at five-on-five — 78th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Mikael Backlund52.2%50.5%46.7%
Rasmus Andersson51.1%52.2%47.3%
Matt Coronato52.0%51.5%49.3%

52.2% together, 50.5% for him apart and 46.7% for Backlund apart. Backlund was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Backlund than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

278 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 15 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 47% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.