Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2023-24 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2023-24 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

31

Anton Forsberg

Ottawa Senators Goaltender

A .9021 on a club that allowed the fifteenth-most chances in the league.

SeasonTeamGPWLOTLGAGAASOSASV%
2014-15CBJ5040204.690149.866
2015-16CBJ413093.03097.907
2016-17CBJ101044.10027.852
2017-18CHI3510164852.970921.908
2019-20CAR311083.35078.897
2020-21OTT8341243.210264.909
2021-22OTT46221741212.8211457.917
2022-23OTT2811112803.262817.902
2023-24 so far——————————
Career—1304857113513.0833810.908

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

11-11-2 in 28 games, .9021, 3.26, two shutouts on 817 shots.

29.2 shots a night, and a .9021 that is below the median of .9029 among the forty-two goaltenders with thirty games — he did not quite reach that threshold, and the comparison is the direction rather than a rank.

The 3.26 goals-against average is the number that matters here. Ottawa allowed the fifteenth-most expected goals per sixty at even strength — a middling defensive club, not a bad one — and conceded 271 goals, twentieth. The gap between those two is this crease, and it is why the club’s goaltending finished twenty-seventh.

Eight seasons, 130 games, a 3.08 career goals-against average.

The Finesse Game

6-3 and 200, and a technique that is sound rather than distinctive.

He plays square and reasonably deep, tracks the puck well through a first screen, and is beaten most often by the second shot.

The rebound control is the specific problem. A .9021 behind a defensive record as ordinary as Ottawa’s is not explained by the volume, and the pucks that come back into the slot are where the difference is.

He handles the puck competently and is used to start breakouts, which on this blue line has some value.

The Intangibles

One hundred and eighty-eighth overall in 2011, the seventh round, and eight seasons of being a backup in Columbus, Chicago, Carolina, Edmonton, Winnipeg and here.

130 games across eight years, and a career goals-against average of 3.08 that has never dipped for long.

He is thirty and this is a backup’s job behind a goaltender signed to take it. That is the correct use of him, and the club’s twenty-seventh-place goaltending is the record of what happens when it is not.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • rebound-controlhe lacks it· where the second chance ends up

    “The rebound control is the specific problem.”

  • tracks-traffica strength· finds it through a screen

    “He plays square and reasonably deep, tracks the puck well through a first screen, and is beaten most often by the second shot.”

  • puck-handlinga strength· starts the breakout himself

    “He handles the puck competently and is used to start breakouts, which on this blue line has some value.”