Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

23

Adam Fox

New York Rangers Defense

51 assists and the 82nd percentile in chance share, and his own ice outscored the opposition 60-45.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20NYR7083442+22321041256.418:54
2020-21NYR5554247+19142111024.924:42
2021-22NYR78116374+18260121587.023:54
2022-23NYR82126072+28341051597.524:23
2023-24NYR72175673+213661513712.423:27
2024-25NYR74105161+9321121357.423:15
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—43163306369+117174114198167.723:06

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

10 goals and 51 assists in 74 games — 61 points, plus-9, at 23:15 a night, the largest assignment on the club.

54.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 82nd percentile, across 1,215 minutes. And the club was outscored 60-45 with him on the ice against an expectation of 57.65-48.85. He had the better of the chances by seven goals and the worse of the results by ten.

The Finesse Game

The passing is the whole game and it is among the two or three best at the position in the league. He reads a breakout before it forms, and the first pass out of his own end is quick and accurate under pressure — 51 assists in 74 games is a rate almost nobody on a blue line reaches.

135 attempts at a median of 40 feet with half of them from beyond 40 is a point shot meant to be deflected rather than a weapon. 10 goals is the honest ceiling and it does not matter, because the value was never in the shot.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 185 pounds, and among the smallest men in the league playing twenty-three minutes a night. He defends by anticipation and stick position, gets to the spot before the puck does, and is very rarely beaten wide.

He does not clear his crease and never has. 32 penalty minutes in 74 games says he is almost never reaching, which is the other half of the same sentence: a man who arrives first does not need to foul.

The Intangibles

A third-round pick who was traded twice before he had played a game, refused to sign in Carolina, and arrived here in 2019 on his own terms. He won the Norris Trophy in his second season.

Six seasons, 431 games, 369 points, and a body of work that no longer needs arguing for. The one thing the record will not give him is a heavy partner, and the club spent the summer buying one.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored

    22.2% of his attempts in the slot, 96th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    54.1% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 44.6% for his club in the minutes he sat: +9.5, 100th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    63% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 98th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “51 assists in 74 games is a rate almost nobody on a blue line reaches.”

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “He reads a breakout before it forms, and the first pass out of his own end is quick and accurate under pressure”

  • clears-the-creasehe lacks it· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He does not clear his crease and never has.”

  • fouls-when-beatenhe lacks it· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “32 penalty minutes in 74 games says he is almost never reaching, which is the other half of the same sentence: a man who arrives first does not need to foul.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,215 minutes

Expected goals
54.1%
86th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
55.5%
93rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 60 for, 45 against. Expected: 57.6 and 48.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
80th
Numbers
86th

The two rank him within 6 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 78 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 74 games

Top speed
21.3 mph
35th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.11 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.19 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
86.4 mph
25th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1215 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
NYR took 47.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.1% — 6.4 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,215 minutes at five-on-five — 86th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ryan Lindgren48.7%59.5%43.9%
Vincent Trocheck52.2%55.3%45.9%
Artemi Panarin56.2%52.8%47.3%

48.7% together, 59.5% for him apart and 43.9% for Lindgren apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Lindgren behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

203 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 10 of them goals. His median goal came from 29 feet. 16% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 50% from beyond forty.