Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

23

Adam Fox

New York Rangers Defense

Third in assists and fourth in points among the 343 defencemen in the league, at 5-11 and 185 pounds, with the 3rd-fewest hits of 202.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20NYR7083442+22321041256.418:54
2020-21NYR5554247+19142111024.924:42
2021-22NYR78116374+18260121587.023:54
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—20324139163+59723273856.222:24

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

78 games, 11 goals and 63 assists for 74 points at 23:54 a night, plus-18, twenty-six penalty minutes, 158 shots. Sixty-sixth overall in 2016 by Calgary, three seasons, 203 games, 163 points, a career plus-59.

Seventy-four points is 4th among the 343 defencemen in the league and sixty-three assists is 3rd. He has 139 assists in 203 NHL games.

The Finesse Game

Sixty-three assists against eleven goals is the 3rd-most of the 343 defencemen in the league, and he gives up the shot at the point to make the pass instead.

1.59 even-strength points per 60 is the 94th percentile among defencemen and forty-five per cent of his points came on the power play, where he takes 2:58 a night at the 93rd.

5.08 shots per 60 is the 66th percentile — modest volume — but the geography is not: twenty-one per cent of them came from the slot, the 96th percentile among defencemen, at a 44-foot median that is the 3rd-shortest of the 202. He walks the line and gets inside it.

87.9 mph is the 7th percentile for shot speed. There is no shot here at all and it does not matter, because he does not take the kind that needs one.

2.51 takeaways per 60 is the 3rd-most of the 202 defencemen who played forty games, against the 3rd-fewest hits — he takes the puck rather than the man.

50.9 per cent of the expected goals and 49.9 per cent of the attempts on 56.3 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 138th-highest of 652 skaters — soft usage on a club that finished 24th in attempt share.

The Physical Game

0.97 hits per 60 is the 3rd-fewest of the 202 qualified defencemen, behind only Quinn Hughes and Erik Karlsson. 4.12 blocks per 60 is the 50th percentile, so he is in front of pucks without being in front of people.

0.58 penalties drawn per 60 against 0.42 taken is the 90th-percentile net, and twenty-six penalty minutes came out of seventy-eight games at nearly twenty-four a night.

The Intangibles

21.7 mph is the 34th percentile, 0.7 bursts per 60 the 19th, 8.18 miles per 60 the 19th. He is slow by the chips, sprints rarely, and covers less ground than four-fifths of the league’s defencemen.

He is 24, 5-11 and 185 pounds, and plays twenty-four minutes a night against the other club’s best. The three defencemen who hit least often in the league are Hughes, Karlsson and Fox, and all three are small, and all three are among the best in the world at the position.

Nothing measurable here explains it. What is measurable is the takeaway rate, the shot geography and 139 assists in 203 games.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored

    20.9% of his attempts in the slot, 97th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it

  • durable· was available

    78 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    50.9% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 44.5% for his club in the minutes he sat: +6.4, 98th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “Sixty-three assists against eleven goals is the 3rd-most of the 343 defencemen in the league, and he gives up the shot at the point to make the pass instead.”

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “2.51 takeaways per 60 is the 3rd-most of the 202 defencemen who played forty games, against the 3rd-fewest hits — he takes the puck rather than the man.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,407 minutes

Expected goals
50.9%
62nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.9%
55th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 61 for, 51 against. Expected: 56.3 and 54.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
81st
Numbers
62nd

The two rank him within 19 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 78 games

Top speed
21.7 mph
54th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.5

Bursts over 20 mph
0.28 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.26 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
87.9 mph
26th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.4

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 1407 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
NYR took 46.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.9% — 4.2 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,407 minutes at five-on-five — 94th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ryan Lindgren50.2%53.7%39.6%
Mika Zibanejad53.1%49.7%47.6%
Chris Kreider57.1%47.9%48.6%

50.2% together, 53.7% for him apart and 39.6% for Lindgren apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Lindgren behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

196 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 12 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 15% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 58% from beyond forty.