Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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34

Adam Boqvist

Florida Panthers Defense

Eighth overall in 2018, a career minus-41, and not one penalty minute in 35 games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20CHI414913-36001508.016:13
2020-21CHI3521416-714100395.116:59
2021-22CBJ52111122-11123016417.217:03
2022-23CBJ4651924-128001687.318:38
2023-24CBJ351910-80000452.218:17
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—209236285-41404032668.617:26

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

35 games in Columbus, 1 goal and 9 assists for 10 points, no penalty minutes at all, 18:17 a night and minus-8. He took 46.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 549 minutes, the 27th percentile, and his ice went 26-28 against an expectation of 25.35-29.69, all of it with the Blue Jackets.

Level with his chances at one end and two fewer conceded at the other. Eighteen minutes a night at 23 on a bad club, and a career that has gone sideways for three years.

The Finesse Game

45 shots at a median of 45 feet with 58 per cent from beyond 40, converted at 2.2 per cent.

62 career assists in 209 games is a genuine rate for a right-handed puck-mover. He walks the line, opens the lane, and finds a stick through traffic, and the shot from the point is real. Everything he is worth is on this side of the ledger.

The Physical Game

He is 6-0 and 195 and does not defend.

Not one penalty minute in 35 games and 40 in 209 career games. He does not punish anybody, does not clear his own crease, and is moved off pucks by anybody who bothers. A career minus-41 in 209 games is what that produces.

The Intangibles

Eighth overall in 2018 out of Falun, five seasons across two organisations, and 85 points in 209 games at 24.

He is a power-play defenceman on a club whose power play does not need one and whose system will not tolerate the defending. That is a difficult fit, and he is cheap enough that it does not have to work.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He does not punish anybody, does not clear his own crease, and is moved off pucks by anybody who bothers.”

  • clears-the-creasehe lacks it· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He does not punish anybody, does not clear his own crease, and is moved off pucks by anybody who bothers.”

  • hard-to-movehe lacks it· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “He does not punish anybody, does not clear his own crease, and is moved off pucks by anybody who bothers.”

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “He walks the line, opens the lane, and finds a stick through traffic, and the shot from the point is real.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 549 minutes

Expected goals
46.1%
27th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.8%
44th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 26 for, 28 against. Expected: 25.4 and 29.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
11th
Numbers
27th

The two rank him within 16 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 58 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 35 games

Top speed
21.9 mph
55th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.51 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.62 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
91.3 mph
48th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with CBJ · 549 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
CBJ took 45.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.1% — 0.2 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 549 minutes at five-on-five — 21st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Zach Werenski49.5%39.2%47.6%
Johnny Gaudreau45.3%46.6%50.7%
Boone Jenner44.1%46.9%49.6%

49.5% together, 39.2% for him apart and 47.6% for Werenski apart. He was worse away from Werenski, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Werenski did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

73 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 11 feet. 12% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 58% from beyond forty.