Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Viktor Arvidsson

Photo by Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0

Viktor Arvidsson

Detroit Red Wings Left Wing #33

5-10, 25 goals, and plus-20 on a club that was minus-17.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15NSH60000000090.010:15
2015-16NSH568816-8351031395.812:24
2016-17NSH80313061+162845624612.617:09
2017-18NSH78293261+203633624711.717:45
2018-19NSH58341448+122632719517.419:09
2019-20NSH57151328-42640112711.816:12
2020-21NSH50101525+9212021516.616:36
2021-22LAK66202949+1224032278.816:59
2022-23LAK77263359-424101222811.417:06
2023-24LAK186915+4141015910.216:42
2024-25EDM67151227-3241021589.515:00
2025-26BOS69252954+202440617514.314:36
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—682219224443+63280371139196111.216:19

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

25 goals and 29 assists in 69 games — 54 points, plus-20, at 14:36 a night. His 5-on-5 work was done in Boston.

The Finesse Game

A shooter’s shooter. 263 unblocked attempts in 69 games from a median of 28 feet with 41 per cent inside 20, and 25 goals — a high rate from a player getting under 15 minutes a night.

219 goals in 682 career games. The release has never been the question.

The Physical Game

5-10, 181, and he plays a great deal harder than that. He forechecks with genuine intent and takes the punishment in front of the net that a man his size has no business taking. 24 penalty minutes.

The durability is the cost: 69 games last season, and he has passed 70 twice in 5 years.

The Intangibles

The plus-20 was earned on a club that was outscored, which is unusual, and the underlying numbers do not support it: 49.8 per cent of the expected goals, 53rd percentile, in 843 minutes.

Boston finished 21st and 24th in expected goals and got carried by its goaltender, so read the plus figure as Swayman’s rather than his.

He is 33 and arrives on a club that finished 4th on the power play and needed another finisher for it. 25 goals in 14 minutes a night is a real return, and it is the sort of thing that keeps arriving until it suddenly does not.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 843 minutes

Expected goals
49.8%
53rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.3%
61st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 54 for, 27 against. Expected: 36.1 and 36.4.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
61st
Numbers
53rd

The two rank him within 8 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 69 games

Top speed
22.7 mph
73rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.01 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.28 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
94.6 mph
96th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

14

points in his last 10 games — 7 goals, 7 assists, 25 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 with BOS · 843 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
BOS took 48.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.8% — 1.8 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 843 minutes at five-on-five — 41st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Casey Mittelstadt51.3%42.4%46.4%
Pavel Zacha49.1%52.3%41.9%
Nikita Zadorov48.4%50.5%46.1%

51.3% together, 42.4% for him apart and 46.4% for Mittelstadt apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

263 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 25 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 41% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.