Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.
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35

Tristan Jarry

Pittsburgh Penguins Goaltender

A .9193 across 1,711 shots, 6th of the 53 goaltenders who played twenty-five games, behind the 7th-best chance suppression in hockey.

SeasonTeamGPWLOTLGAGAASOSASV%
2016-17PIT101033.06025.880
2017-18PIT261462632.772687.908
2018-19PIT201173.50062.887
2019-20PIT3320121782.433985.921
2020-21PIT3925931002.7521100.909
2021-22PIT58341861382.4241711.919
2022-23 so far——————————
Career—1599347133892.57114570.915

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

58 games, 34-18-6, a .9193 save percentage and a 2.42 goals-against, four shutouts on 1,711 shots. That is 6th of the 53 goaltenders who played twenty-five games. Forty-fourth overall in 2013, six seasons, 159 games.

The Physical Game

6-4 and 201 pounds, and 27 years old with 159 NHL games behind him.

The record has one very clear shape. Two full-sized seasons at .9208 across 985 shots and .9193 across 1,711, and two smaller ones at .9083 across 687 and .9091 across 1,100. Career .9149 on 4,570 shots.

The two best years are the two most recent big ones, which is the direction a goaltender’s record is supposed to run, and the spread across four real samples is only a hundred and twenty-five points — a quarter of what Carter Hart’s four seasons contain.

Last season is the largest sample of his career and the second-best figure in it.

The Mental Game

Pittsburgh rated 9th in the league in goaltending at plus-5.8 goals saved above expectation, which is modest, and the reason it is modest is that the skaters made his job easier than most.

They finished 10th in attempt share, 7th in chance share and 7th in expected goals against per 60 at even strength, and they spent less time short-handed than all but two clubs in the league at 4:16 a game.

Thirty-four wins is 6th in the league among the fifty-three and it is a hard number to separate from a club that finished 12th with 103 points.

Casey DeSmith took twenty-six games at .9142 — 16th of the same 53 — so the crease was above average from both ends of it.

The Intangibles

Nothing here measures rebound control, how he tracks a puck through traffic or what he does with it behind the net.

What it measures is 4,570 career shots at .9149 from a 27-year-old whose last two full seasons are his two best. That is the most stable goaltending record in this batch of four clubs and by some distance the least interesting to write about.

The one thing the record will not answer is the playoffs. The brackets this book holds show Pittsburgh losing a first round to the Islanders in 2019 and another to the Rangers in seven games last spring, and 159 regular-season games say nothing about either.