Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

57

Trevor van Riemsdyk

Washington Capitals Defense

The 7th-fewest hits and the 7th-fewest giveaways of 202 defencemen, with the 16th-most blocks.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15CHI1801102000210.013:32
2015-16CHI8231114-531001853.519:59
2016-17CHI5851116+1729002736.918:25
2017-18CAR7931316+9200011112.717:03
2018-19CAR7831114-4100011022.915:04
2019-20CAR49178-710000581.714:52
2020-21WSH20123-12000234.317:05
2021-22WSH7211617-340000751.317:28
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—456177289+61440055483.117:06

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

72 games, 1 goal and 16 assists at 17:28 a night, minus-3, forty penalty minutes, 75 shots. Undrafted, and 456 games across eight seasons out of it.

The Finesse Game

One goal from seventy-five shots is 1.3 per cent, the 19th-lowest of the 202 defencemen who played forty games, and seventeen goals in 456 career games is the same fact stated longer.

3.58 shots per 60 is the 26th percentile from a 46-foot median — but nineteen per cent of his attempts came from inside twenty feet, the 91st percentile. He gets to the dangerous ice and nothing goes in.

0.906 giveaways per 60 is the 7th-fewest of all 202, which is the single most distinctive number in the file, and 1.43 takeaways per 60 is the 85th percentile.

0.91 even-strength points per 60 is the 46th percentile and none of his seventeen points came on the power play — none in 456 career games.

50.9 per cent of the expected goals is the 57th percentile and 49.1 per cent of the attempts the 42nd, out of 54.9 per cent offensive-zone starts.

His ice went 40-45 against an expectation of 40.38-39.02 — level in front and six more against, which is the one line that argues with the rest of the file.

The Physical Game

6.15 blocks per 60 is the 16th-most of all 202 defencemen who played forty games, at 2:39 a night short-handed.

1.193 hits per 60 is the 7th-fewest of the same 202.

Read those together: he blocks more shots than nearly anybody and hits almost nobody, which is a defensive profile built entirely on position.

0.859 penalties drawn per 60 is the 9th-most at the position against 0.62 taken, a net of plus 0.239 — the 11th-best of the 202.

The Intangibles

His shot is 86.7 mph, the 6th-softest of the 192 tracked defencemen. 8.02 miles per 60 is the 19th-lowest of the same 192, against a 22.3 mph top speed at the 69th percentile.

He is 31, undrafted out of New Hampshire, with eighty-nine points in 456 games. The blocks, the giveaway rate, the penalties drawn and the kill are four genuine third-pair virtues and the sort a club only misses once they are gone. The softest shot on the blue line, one goal in seventy-two games and six more goals against than the model asked are why it is a third pair.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored

    18.6% of his attempts in the slot, 92nd percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “6.15 blocks per 60 is the 16th-most of all 202 defencemen who played forty games, at 2:39 a night short-handed.”

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted, and 456 games across eight seasons out of it.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,102 minutes

Expected goals
50.9%
62nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.1%
46th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 40 for, 45 against. Expected: 40.4 and 39.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
58th
Numbers
62nd

The two rank him within 4 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 62 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 72 games

Top speed
22.3 mph
79th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.5

Bursts over 20 mph
0.65 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.34 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
86.7 mph
22nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.4

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 1088 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
WSH took 51.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.9% — 0.2 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 1,102 minutes at five-on-five — 77th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Justin Schultz50.7%51.1%52.7%
Alex Ovechkin53.5%49.8%48.0%
Tom Wilson50.3%51.0%49.9%

50.7% together, 51.1% for him apart and 52.7% for Schultz apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

102 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 60 feet. 16% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 62% from beyond forty.