Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Shea Theodore

Photo by Michael Miller, CC BY-SA 4.0

Shea Theodore

Vegas Golden Knights Defense #27

634 games, 314 assists, and the 86th percentile.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16ANA19358+722012810.719:07
2016-17ANA34279-628101603.317:19
2017-18VGK6162329+5141011444.220:21
2018-19VGK79122537-4204012025.920:06
2019-20VGK71133346+12251142195.922:14
2020-21VGK5383442+28140001615.022:33
2021-22VGK78143852+6241052056.823:08
2022-23VGK5583341+16182021365.921:26
2023-24VGK4753742+462011054.822:05
2024-25VGK6775057+18262021285.522:00
2025-26VGK70102939+19242031307.722:50
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—63488314402+1052011812115185.821:32

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

10 goals and 29 assists in 70 games — 39 points, plus-19, at 22:50 a night with only 24 penalty minutes. 12 games missed.

His 634th career game and his 402nd point. 314 career assists.

The Finesse Game

The skating is the best of any defenceman on the club and among the better sets of feet in the league — he escapes forechecks by turning through them and carries the puck out cleanly every time.

194 unblocked attempts from a median of 50 feet, 65 per cent from beyond 40, 10 goals. That is a good conversion for a point shot.

29 assists is a fair rate and rather below his best.

The Physical Game

6-2, 197, and he does not defend with his body. 24 penalty minutes.

He loses net-front battles and does not clear a crease. The skating and the reads cover most of it.

The Intangibles

56.1 per cent of the expected goals, 92nd percentile, and 54.5 per cent of the shot attempts, 88th, across 1,330 minutes, with the chances 60.0 to 47.0 in his favour.

The goals came out 58 for and 41 against — in his favour, on chances that were 13 goals to the good. He is the only Vegas defenceman whose goals came out ahead of his chances at all, and what happened to the other five was the whole season.

7 points in his last 10. He is 31, a Stanley Cup, and one of the more underrated puck-moving defencemen of the last decade.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    19:00 a game at five-on-five, 90th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,330 minutes

Expected goals
56.1%
93rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
54.5%
89th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 58 for, 41 against. Expected: 60.0 and 47.0.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
73rd
Numbers
93rd

The numbers rank him 20 points above where the report does. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 76 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 70 games

Top speed
22.2 mph
72nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.76 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.39 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
92.8 mph
64th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

7

points in his last 10 games — 2 goals, 5 assists, 20 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1312 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
VGK took 53.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 56.1% — 2.7 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,330 minutes at five-on-five — 89th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brayden McNabb56.8%54.7%48.1%
Jack Eichel56.2%55.9%57.9%
Ivan Barbashev56.6%55.7%54.8%

56.8% together, 54.7% for him apart and 48.1% for McNabb apart. McNabb was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for McNabb than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

194 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 35 feet. 8% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 65% from beyond forty.