Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Scott Sabourin

Photo by mark6mauno, CC BY-SA 2.0

Scott Sabourin

Tampa Bay Lightning Right Wing #46

Undrafted, 73 games across 6 seasons, and 89 penalty minutes in 26.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20OTT35246-633000296.97:01
2020-21TOR1000050000—4:29
2021-22OTT7022-21100040.07:36
2023-24SJS30000900030.09:17
2024-25SJS1000-200000—10:27
2025-26TBL26145+189000119.17:57
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—7331013-9147000476.47:31

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

1 goal and 4 assists in 26 games — 5 points, plus-1, at 7:57 a night with 89 penalty minutes.

The Finesse Game

26 unblocked attempts across 26 games, 1 goal. 13 points in 73 career games.

There is nothing here and the page will not invent any.

The Physical Game

6-3, 205, and the entire role is fighting. 89 penalty minutes in under 8 minutes a night is one of the highest rates in the league by some distance.

Undrafted, 34 years old, and 73 NHL games spread across 6 seasons — the record of a man who is called up when a club decides it needs somebody to answer for something.

The Intangibles

47.9 per cent of the expected goals, 35th percentile, in 206 minutes. That is a very small sample and the only fair thing to say about it is that it is not damning.

4 points in his last 10, none of them goals.

He is 34, and on a club that finished 3rd in the league in possession and has Viel for the same job, the honest question is whether these 200 minutes need to exist at all. Tampa evidently thinks they do.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 206 minutes

Expected goals
47.9%
36th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.3%
21st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 8 for, 7 against. Expected: 8.1 and 8.8.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
11th
Numbers
36th

The numbers rank him 25 points above where the report does. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 64 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 26 games

Top speed
21.9 mph
35th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.04 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.33 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
83.7 mph
42nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 11 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

4

points in his last 10 games — 0 goals, 4 assists, 9 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 206 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
TBL took 53.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.9% — 6.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
206 minutes at five-on-five — 0th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Charle-Edouard D'Astous51.4%46.6%55.7%
Curtis Douglas60.0%42.6%53.8%
Declan Carlile37.5%51.5%50.9%

51.4% together, 46.6% for him apart and 55.7% for D'Astous apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with D'Astous and did not follow him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

26 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 36 feet. 50% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 31% from beyond forty.