Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Bryan Rust

Photo by Michael Miller, CC BY-SA 4.0

Bryan Rust

Pittsburgh Penguins Right Wing #17

29 goals at 34, and half his shots from inside 20 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15PIT14112-34000342.912:02
2015-16PIT414711+112001685.912:30
2016-17PIT57151328+4800111013.613:38
2017-18PIT69132538+112622312310.616:03
2018-19PIT72181735+102402414112.815:54
2019-20PIT55272956+143081415117.919:46
2020-21PIT56222042+91860615414.319:43
2021-22PIT60243458+71490118013.318:46
2022-23PIT81202646-4312022119.517:54
2023-24PIT62282856+102031319614.319:35
2024-25PIT71313465-211850519116.219:45
2025-26PIT7229366502681418315.819:57
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—710232270502+3823143734174213.317:39

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

29 goals and 36 assists in 72 games — 65 points, even in plus-minus, at 19:57 a night with 8 power-play goals.

The Finesse Game

The shot location is why a 34-year-old scored 29. 49 per cent of his unblocked attempts came from inside 20 feet, median 21, and 30 goals came out of 296 tries.

The speed is still genuinely good — he is among the quicker forwards on the club — and it is what gets him to that ice before the defenceman does.

36 assists is a career-high sort of number.

The Physical Game

5-11, 202, and he plays a harder game than that. 26 penalty minutes. He forechecks properly and does not avoid the traffic where his shots come from.

The Intangibles

48.0 per cent of the expected goals, 37th percentile — the weakest of Pittsburgh’s regular forwards, and a number that sits oddly next to 65 points.

The goals went 60-52 in his favour anyway.

11 points in his last 10. He is 34, an 80th overall pick, 2 Stanley Cups, and 502 points in 710 games for 1 organisation. On a club whose 3 best players are all approaching or past 40, he is the young one.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,023 minutes

Expected goals
48%
37th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.8%
44th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 60 for, 52 against. Expected: 45.2 and 49.1.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
82nd
Numbers
37th

The report ranks him 45 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 78 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 72 games

Top speed
22.8 mph
78th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.72 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.05 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
88.4 mph
73rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

11

points in his last 10 games — 3 goals, 8 assists, 25 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1023 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
PIT took 51.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.0% — 3.8 below the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,023 minutes at five-on-five — 62nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Sidney Crosby49.1%43.3%54.8%
Rickard Rakell49.4%46.4%54.6%
Erik Karlsson46.4%49.3%55.8%

49.1% together, 43.3% for him apart and 54.8% for Crosby apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Crosby and did not follow him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

296 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 30 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 49% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 13% from beyond forty.