This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Philip Broberg
Edmonton Oilers Defense
Eighth overall, two seasons, 69 games, and 530 minutes that describe nothing.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | EDM | 23 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 3.5 | 13:28 |
| 2022-23 | EDM | 46 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 3.1 | 12:36 |
| 2023-24 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 69 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 61 | 3.3 | 12:53 |
This Season So Far
The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
1 goal and 7 assists in 46 games, plus-6, 12:36 a night.
57.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 530 minutes, the 94th percentile — which reads as remarkable and needs the next number to make sense of it.
56.0 per cent of his five-on-five shifts started in the attacking zone, the 78th percentile. He was given the attacking end more often than most, on the club that generated the fifth-most chances in the league, for 530 minutes.
His ice went 29-26 against an expectation of 25.75-18.94: three better than the chances at the offensive end and seven worse at the defensive one.
Two seasons, 69 games, 11 points.
The Finesse Game
32 shots at a median of 54 feet, 74 per cent from beyond forty and 12 per cent from inside twenty.
Beyond forty: 23 shots on goal, none in. Inside forty: 8 shots, one goal.
Thirty-two shots in 46 games is very low volume. One goal and seven assists at twelve minutes a night is a third-pair output and there is no evidence yet of the offensive game the draft position implied.
90.7 mph at the 48th percentile — one of only two Edmonton defencemen in this book with a below-average registered shot, the other being Desharnais.
The Physical Game
6-4 and 210, and the skating was the reason he went eighth: 21.6 mph at the 19th percentile, 0.3 bursts a game at the 9th, and 1.71 miles a game at the 4th.
That is a poor tracking line and the mileage is twelve-minute nights, so the number to weigh is the top speed, and for a player drafted on his stride it is a genuinely troubling one.
2 penalty minutes in 46 games. He is not physical at all, which at 6-4 leaves very little on the page.
The Intangibles
Eighth overall in 2019, from Örebro, and two seasons producing 69 games and 11 points at 22.
The possession numbers look excellent and the deployment explains most of them. The tracking says the skating that made him a top-ten pick is not showing up in the feed.
He is 22 and Edmonton have been patient. What the record does not yet contain is a reason to expect the top-four defenceman.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- disciplined· stays out of the box
0.04 penalty minutes a game over 46, 0th percentile among defencemen
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it
- drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
57.6% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 52.9% for his club in the minutes he sat: +4.7, 91st percentile among defencemen
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 530 minutes
- Expected goals
- 57.6%
- 95th pct
- Shot attempts
- 57.2%
- 95th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 29 for, 26 against. Expected: 25.8 and 18.9.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 86 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 638 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 55 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2022-23 · 46 games
- Top speed
- 21.6 mph
- 52nd pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 0.26 a game
- Distance
- 1.71 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 90.7 mph
- 44th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.5
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 90.0
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2022-23 · 530 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2022-23
- The club
- EDM took 53.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 57.6% — 4.1 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Third pair, 530 minutes at five-on-five — 18th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Bouchard | 57.1% | 58.4% | 57.7% |
| Leon Draisaitl | 59.8% | 56.6% | 52.0% |
| Connor McDavid | 61.0% | 55.9% | 56.9% |
57.1% together, 58.4% for him apart and 57.7% for Bouchard apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
42 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 8 feet. 12% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 74% from beyond forty.