This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Pavel Dorofeyev

35 goals on 254 shots at 24, and the 96th percentile of chances.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2021-22	VGK	2	0	0	0	-1	2	0	0	0	1	0.0	6:30
2022-23	VGK	18	7	2	9	+5	6	2	0	3	40	17.5	14:14
2023-24	VGK	47	13	11	24	+8	12	0	0	1	97	13.4	13:17
2024-25	VGK	82	35	17	52	+2	30	13	0	7	254	13.8	16:32
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	149	55	30	85	+14	50	15	0	11	392	14.0	15:06

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

35 goals and 17 assists in 82 games — 52 points at 16:32 a night, with 13 power-play goals and 7 game-winners on 254 shots, the most on the club, converting at 13.8 per cent.

57.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 96th percentile — the best mark of any forward on the roster. His ice went 50-45 against an expectation of 50.90-37.81 — fifteen goals of scoring missing on a line that was creating at a remarkable rate.

The Finesse Game

254 attempts at a median of 26 feet with 35 per cent from inside 20 and only 16 per cent from beyond 40. The volume is the story: he shoots more than anybody here and from good places, and the release is quick and heavy.

17 assists in 82 games. There is little creation and it does not matter; he is a shooter, and on a power play that finished 4th in the league he scored 13.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 194 and he does not play a physical game. He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks against defencemen.

30 penalty minutes in 82 games is a moderate rate. He is disciplined and largely uninvolved in that half of the game, which on the least-penalised club in the league is the house style.

The Intangibles

A third-round pick in 2019 — 79th overall — out of Magnitogorsk, and 149 NHL games in with 55 goals.

He is 24 and scored 35 in his first full season. On a club whose forwards are 28, 33, 31, 32 and 34, he is the only one under 25 who matters.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
82 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
57.4% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 52.1% for his club in the minutes he sat: +5.3, 90th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips
“**254 attempts at a median of 26 feet with 35 per cent from inside 20 and only 16 per cent from beyond 40.** The volume is the story: he shoots more than anybody here and from good places, and the release is quick and heavy.”
playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“17 assists in 82 games. There is little creation and it does not matter; he is a shooter, and on a power play that finished 4th in the league he scored 13.”
forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck
“He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks against defencemen.”
wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line
“He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks against defencemen.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,090 minutes

Expected goals: 57.4%; 96th pct
Shot attempts: 53.4%; 85th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 50 for, 45 against. Expected: 50.9 and 37.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

66th

Numbers

96th

The numbers rank him 30 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed: 22.9 mph; 79th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 0.68 a game
Distance: 2.52 miles a game
Hardest shot: 91.5 mph; 85th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1090 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: VGK took 53.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 57.4% — 3.9 above the club he did it on.
The role: Second line, 1,090 minutes at five-on-five — 74th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Tomas Hertl	58.6%	56.1%	52.3%
Noah Hanifin	58.3%	56.9%	54.8%
Brayden McNabb	64.3%	54.4%	51.3%

58.6% together, 56.1% for him apart and 52.3% for Hertl apart. Hertl was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Hertl than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

359 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 35 of them goals. His median goal came from 22 feet. 35% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 16% from beyond forty.