Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2023-24 report →

23

Oskar Lindblom

San Jose Sharks Left Wing

The 11th-softest shot of 365 forwards and the 8th-percentile top speed, at 13:48 a night.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18PHI23246+48001365.614:35
2018-19PHI81171633-92020216210.513:45
2019-20PHI3011718+443007215.317:37
2020-21PHI508614-990015813.813:11
2021-22PHI79121426-11220011279.413:48
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—263504797-216350545511.014:10

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

79 games for Philadelphia, 12 goals and 14 assists at 13:48 a night, minus-11, twenty-two penalty minutes, 127 shots. One hundred and thirty-eighth overall in 2014 — the fifth round — five seasons, 263 games, 97 points.

The Finesse Game

His shot is 81.0 mph, the 11th-softest of the 365 forwards the tracking measures. Ten men in the league shoot softer and none of them scored twelve goals.

6.99 shots per 60 is the 45th percentile at 9.4 per cent, from a 27-foot median with forty-eight per cent from the slot. Twelve goals came out of 127 attempts and none of them came on the power play — thirty-four seconds a night, the 27th percentile.

1.53 even-strength points per 60 is the 33rd percentile.

1.05 takeaways per 60 is the 12th percentile against 0.99 giveaways at the 16th. Almost nothing happens on his stick in either direction.

46.2 per cent of the expected goals is the 19th percentile and 45.0 per cent of the attempts the 12th, out of 44.7 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 173rd-lowest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts — a hard chair on a club that finished 29th.

His ice went 37-46 against an expectation of 37.25-43.37.

The Physical Game

2.64 blocks per 60 is the 85th percentile among forwards, at 6-1 and 191 pounds on a 13:48 shift.

4.57 hits per 60 is the 58th percentile. 0.66 penalties drawn per 60 against 0.61 taken, and twenty-two penalty minutes came out of seventy-nine games.

The Intangibles

21.5 mph is the 8th percentile among forwards and 1.8 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 is the 8th, against 9.55 miles per 60 at the 40th.

Two skating measurements in the bottom tenth of the league and a shot in the bottom four per cent. Those three together describe the ceiling more exactly than any other line in this batch.

He is 26 with 263 games across five seasons, only two of which ran past fifty games. The blocks, the durability and seventy-nine games played are the case. The shot speed, the top speed, the sprint count and possession shares in the bottom eighth of the league are why San Jose is his second club.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    79 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “2.64 blocks per 60 is the 85th percentile among forwards, at 6-1 and 191 pounds on a 13:48 shift.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 981 minutes

Expected goals
46.2%
24th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45%
15th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 37 for, 46 against. Expected: 37.3 and 43.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
26th
Numbers
24th

The two rank him within 2 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 55 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 79 games

Top speed
21.5 mph
26th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
0.41 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.20 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
81.0 mph
24th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 with PHI · 981 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
PHI took 46.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.2% — 0.2 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 981 minutes at five-on-five — 59th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Travis Sanheim47.0%45.7%48.8%
Ivan Provorov45.9%46.4%47.4%
Scott Laughton47.2%45.6%47.2%

47.0% together, 45.7% for him apart and 48.8% for Sanheim apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

155 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 12 of them goals. His median goal came from 19 feet. 36% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 26% from beyond forty.