Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Matvei Michkov

Photo by Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0

Matvei Michkov

Philadelphia Flyers Right Wing #39

5-10, 172 pounds, and 71 penalty minutes.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2024-25PHI80263763-184680319913.116:41
2025-26PHI8120315107140316312.314:50
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—1614668114-18117120636212.715:45

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

20 goals and 31 assists in 81 games — 51 points, even in plus-minus, at 14:50 a night with 71 penalty minutes. His second NHL season, at 21.

The Finesse Game

The hands are the best on the roster and among the more inventive in the league. He does things with the puck in tight that look improvised and are not — the same moves recur, which is how you know they are practised.

The shooting is well placed: 242 unblocked attempts with 42 per cent from inside 20 feet, median 23, and 23 goals. He goes to the middle rather than settling for the wall.

31 assists in 14 and a half minutes a night is a first-line rate compressed into third-line ice.

The Physical Game

5-10 and 172 pounds, one of the lightest forwards in the league — and 71 penalty minutes, which is the most on the club among forwards.

That combination is the whole personality. He gives away 40 pounds and does not adjust for it, which is admirable and is also why he spends time in the box and on the training table.

The Intangibles

51.9 per cent of the expected goals, 70th percentile, on a club that finished 26th at generating even-strength offence and 4th at preventing it.

13 points in his last 10. He is 21, the seventh pick in 2023, and 114 points into 161 games while being deployed carefully.

Whether 172 pound winger survives a checking series is the standing question, and he plays as though he has never heard it asked.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • clutch· scored his goals when the game was still live

    4 of his 20 goals late or in overtime, 91st percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure barely repeats (0.06) · 10% keep it

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    66% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 96th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 989 minutes

Expected goals
51.9%
70th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.9%
57th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 46 for, 40 against. Expected: 39.4 and 36.5.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
89th
Numbers
70th

The two rank him within 19 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 81 games

Top speed
21.5 mph
19th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.98 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.45 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
82.5 mph
33rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

13

points in his last 10 games — 4 goals, 9 assists, 30 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 989 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
PHI took 50.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.9% — 1.4 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 989 minutes at five-on-five — 59th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Noah Cates52.3%51.6%50.5%
Jamie Drysdale51.2%52.3%50.8%
Bobby Brink49.5%53.1%52.5%

52.3% together, 51.6% for him apart and 50.5% for Cates apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

242 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 23 of them goals. His median goal came from 20 feet. 43% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.