Photo by Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0
_(cropped).jpg){kind=link}
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | PHI | 10 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0.0 | 15:27 |
| 2023-24 | PHI | 57 | 11 | 12 | 23 | +1 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 81 | 13.6 | 13:48 |
| 2024-25 | PHI | 79 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -11 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 105 | 11.4 | 14:50 |
| 2025-26 | PHI/MIN | 68 | 15 | 15 | 30 | -7 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 104 | 14.4 | 15:09 |
| 2026-27 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 214 | 38 | 60 | 98 | -22 | 56 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 308 | 12.3 | 14:41 |
This Season So Far
The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
15 goals and 30 points in 68 games on 15 minutes a night, 3 of the goals on the power play. Across 214 career games he has 98 points, which is a real middle-6 rate for a player nobody projected to stick.
The Finesse Game
The hands and the head are the whole player. He is a genuinely creative passer in tight spaces, he finds seams from below the goal line, and he protects the puck far better than a 5-8 forward should be able to. The shot is quick and accurate from the slot.
He does his best work on the half-wall and on the cycle, where the lack of speed matters least and the vision matters most. Give him a linemate who goes to the net and he will find him.
The skating is the flaw and it is not a small one. He does not separate, he does not win races, and he is easy to defend in transition — which is why the ice time has never grown beyond the third line.
The Physical Game
5-8 and 169, and he cannot play a physical game in either direction. He is willing enough on the puck and completely unable to take it off anyone by force.
The Intangibles
A second-round pick who took 4 years and a change of organisation to become an NHL regular, and who has outlasted the doubts about his size by being smarter than the players trying to check him.
At 25, this is probably close to what he is: a skilled, slow, useful third-line winger who makes a power play better and cannot be hidden defensively.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 876 minutes
- Expected goals
- 51.3%
- 66th pct
- Shot attempts
- 49.1%
- 48th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 28 for, 29 against. Expected: 32.0 and 30.4.
The eye and the numbers
SightedThe two rank him within 11 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.
Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 68 games
- Top speed
- 23.3 mph
- 93rd pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.57 a game
- Distance
- 2.58 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 84.7 mph
- 49th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 83.6
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Recent form
Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first
4
points in his last 10 games — 2 goals, 2 assists, 15 shots
Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.
Usual linemates
2025-26 with PHI · 715 minutes at five-on-five
- Noah Cates62%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2025-26
- The club
- MIN took 50.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.3% — 0.8 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- 876 minutes at five-on-five — 45th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Cates | 51.6% | 51.0% | 51.0% |
| Matvei Michkov | 49.5% | 52.5% | 53.1% |
| Jamie Drysdale | 53.9% | 49.9% | 50.2% |
51.6% together, 51.0% for him apart and 51.0% for Cates apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
160 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 16 of them goals. His median goal came from 10 feet. 43% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.