Armchair Hockey Scout

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2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Jake Middleton

Photo by TheAHL, CC BY 2.0

Jake Middleton

Calgary Flames Defense #55

210th overall, 381 games, and a shot share in the 20th percentile.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19SJS3011-120000—9:56
2019-20SJS10022-2900090.010:46
2020-21SJS1000-2200010.08:44
2021-22SJS/MIN6641014+1082000735.518:41
2022-23MIN7931215+1572000793.819:02
2023-24MIN8071825-1577001858.219:49
2024-25MIN6781321+1140000978.321:52
2025-26MIN7521416+276000623.217:30
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—381247094+183600014065.919:01

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

2 goals and 14 assists in 75 games, plus-2, at 17:30 a night with 76 penalty minutes. His 5-on-5 work was done in Minnesota.

The Finesse Game

95 unblocked attempts from a median of 48 feet, 2 goals, 7 per cent from inside 20. 24 goals in 381 career games.

The first pass is adequate and occasionally rushed. He is not a puck-mover and the club will not use him as one.

The Physical Game

6-3, 219, and this is the whole of it. 76 penalty minutes, a genuine appetite for contact, and a willingness to fight that is now rare among top-4 defencemen.

The Intangibles

An interesting split. He was on for 46.2 per cent of the shot attempts — 20th percentile — but 49.4 per cent of the expected goals, 48th. The opposition had the puck a great deal and struggled to do much with it, which is the signature of a defenceman conceding the outside deliberately.

The goals went 38-43 across 1,145 minutes, a shade the wrong side of level, on a club that was considerably better than this one.

He is 30, a seventh-round pick in 2014 who has made 381 games out of nothing, and he joins a defence that needs somebody willing to be unpleasant. The possession numbers will look worse here. That will not all be his fault.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,145 minutes

Expected goals
49.4%
49th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.2%
21st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 38 for, 43 against. Expected: 46.7 and 47.9.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
11th
Numbers
49th
Blind
33rd

The numbers rank him 38 points above where the report does. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

The same player was graded a second time from his biography and his box score alone, with the measured record withheld. That reading lands 16 points from the numbers; this one lands 38. Across the whole control the two distances come out the same, which is worth knowing in both directions: the arithmetic on both sides of the sighted reading did not buy it any accuracy, and it did not cost it any either.

All three bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 64 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 75 games

Top speed
21.7 mph
53rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.51 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.41 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
84.9 mph
24th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

2

points in his last 10 games — 1 goals, 1 assists, 12 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 with MIN · 1145 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
MIN took 50.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.4% — 1.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,145 minutes at five-on-five — 77th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jared Spurgeon47.8%50.6%54.2%
Ryan Hartman54.1%47.3%52.9%
Kirill Kaprizov53.5%47.6%53.6%

47.8% together, 50.6% for him apart and 54.2% for Spurgeon apart. Spurgeon was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

95 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 37 feet. 7% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 62% from beyond forty.