Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

17

Matt Martin

New York Islanders Left Wing

One thousand one hundred and fifty-eight career penalty minutes in 955 games, and 81 goals.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2009-10NYI5022-126000100.013:14
2010-11NYI685914-13147001608.310:57
2011-12NYI807714-171210011305.412:09
2012-13NYI484711-263101676.011:54
2013-14NYI798614-11900031206.711:54
2014-15NYI788614-4114002908.911:16
2015-16NYI8010919+21190018611.610:33
2016-17TOR825490123000667.68:54
2017-18TOR503912050000466.57:59
2018-19NYI676814+553001629.711:26
2019-20NYI55538-1400024910.210:25
2020-21NYI546511-236100688.811:04
2021-22NYI71347-270000664.511:26
2022-23NYI8171219+463001828.511:09
2023-24NYI57448+743000488.39:19
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—9558195176-351158201310507.710:49

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

57 games, 4 goals and 4 assists for 8 points, 43 penalty minutes, 9:19 a night and plus-7. He took 44.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 525 minutes, the 17th percentile, and his ice went 17-12 against an expectation of 15.63-19.67.

One goal of finishing above what the chances were worth and eight fewer conceded than they called for. A plus-7 out of a 17th-percentile chance share in 525 minutes is goaltending, and it is a very small sample of it.

The Finesse Game

59 attempts at a median of 22 feet, 48 on goal, converted at 8.3 per cent against a career 7.71.

95 career assists in 955 games. Eighty-one goals in fifteen seasons is the complete offensive record. There is nothing to describe here and there never has been.

The Physical Game

He hits harder and more often than almost anybody in the league at 6-3 and 215, and 1,158 career penalty minutes in 955 games is the fourth-highest total of anybody in this edition.

He will fight anybody who has touched a teammate, clears the crease, takes liberties after the whistle, and cannot be moved from anywhere he decides to stand. Fifteen seasons of it.

The Intangibles

A fifth-round pick in 2008 out of Windsor, fifteen seasons across two organisations, and 176 points in 955 games.

He is 35 and plays nine minutes a night. Nine hundred and fifty-five games of this is a career almost nobody manages, and the club has kept him for all but two of those seasons.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He hits harder and more often than almost anybody in the league at 6-3 and 215, and 1,158 career penalty minutes in 955 games is the fourth-highest total of anybody in this edition.”

  • nastya strength· hard to play against; the edge is the point

    “He will fight anybody who has touched a teammate, clears the crease, takes liberties after the whistle, and cannot be moved from anywhere he decides to stand.”

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He will fight anybody who has touched a teammate, clears the crease, takes liberties after the whistle, and cannot be moved from anywhere he decides to stand.”

  • takes-libertiesa strength· crosses the line and knows where it is

    “He will fight anybody who has touched a teammate, clears the crease, takes liberties after the whistle, and cannot be moved from anywhere he decides to stand.”

  • hard-to-movea strength· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “He will fight anybody who has touched a teammate, clears the crease, takes liberties after the whistle, and cannot be moved from anywhere he decides to stand.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 525 minutes

Expected goals
44.3%
17th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
41.5%
4th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 17 for, 12 against. Expected: 15.6 and 19.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
20th
Numbers
17th

The two rank him within 3 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 62 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 57 games

Top speed
21.4 mph
18th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
0.25 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.43 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
82.3 mph
26th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 525 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
NYI took 49.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.3% — 4.8 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 525 minutes at five-on-five — 19th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Cal Clutterbuck43.7%46.3%45.3%
Kyle MacLean46.3%42.8%—
Alexander Romanov48.8%41.5%48.5%

43.7% together, 46.3% for him apart and 45.3% for Clutterbuck apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

59 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 9 feet. 49% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 31% from beyond forty.