Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2023-24 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2023-24 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

35

Linus Ullmark

Boston Bruins Goaltender

A .938 and a 40-6-1 record, and neither number is going to happen again.

SeasonTeamGPWLOTLGAGAASOSASV%
2015-16BUF208102492.600565.913
2016-17BUF101033.06036.917
2017-18BUF512082.000123.935
2018-19BUF37151451093.1121146.905
2019-20BUF3417143912.6911066.915
2020-21BUF20963492.630591.917
2021-22BOS4126102952.4511140.917
2022-23BOS494061911.8921457.938
2023-24 so far——————————
Career—20711663164952.5066124.919

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

49 games, 40-6-1, a .9375 save percentage and a 1.89 goals-against average, with 2 shutouts on 1,457 shots faced.

Boston’s goaltending was measured at 36.3 goals better than expected across the season — first in the league and not close. The club conceded 177 goals; the chances it gave up predicted 150.3 expected goals against at five-on-five alone.

He won the Vezina Trophy. His career save percentage across 207 games is .919, which is very good, and it is nineteen points below what he did last year.

The Physical Game

6-4 and 223 and he plays a controlled, blocking game that takes the top of the net away — square early, deep enough to be covered, and he does not need to be athletic to be in the right place.

He is square to the puck before the shooter has finished the motion, which is the whole technical description, and the rebounds are directed to the corners rather than into the slot. The puck-handling is genuinely good and he plays it more than most.

The Mental Game

He started 49 games for a club that lost twelve times in regulation all season, which is a specific and unusually gentle test, and the honest thing to say is that nothing last season examined him.

What is known from before Boston is less flattering: his numbers in Buffalo were good rather than exceptional. The Vezina season is real and it happened; the question the book has to answer is which of the two numbers describes the goaltender, and the sample says the career one.

The Intangibles

A hundred and sixty-third overall in 2012, a sixth-round pick who was 27 before he had a starter’s job, and he has now won the Vezina.

He is 30, and he shares the crease with a 24-year-old who posted a .920 behind the same defence. Boston has two goaltenders it cannot both keep and cannot easily choose between, on a club that has just lost both centres — the trade that solves one problem is sitting there, and it has been sitting there for a year.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • plays-deepa strength· takes the net away by occupying it

    “He is square to the puck before the shooter has finished the motion”

  • rebound-controla strength· where the second chance ends up

    “the rebounds are directed to the corners rather than into the slot”

  • puck-handlinga strength· starts the breakout himself

    “The puck-handling is genuinely good and he plays it more than most.”