Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

35

Linus Ullmark

Boston Bruins Goaltender

A .9167 and 26 wins in 41 games, behind the best chance-suppressing defence in the league — which is the whole difficulty in reading it.

SeasonTeamGPWLOTLGAGAASOSASV%
2015-16BUF208102492.600565.913
2016-17BUF101033.06036.917
2017-18BUF512082.000123.935
2018-19BUF37151451093.1121146.905
2019-20BUF3417143912.6911066.915
2020-21BUF20963492.630591.917
2021-22BOS4126102952.4511140.917
2022-23 so far——————————
Career—1587657154042.6944667.913

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

41 games, 26-10-2, a .9167 save percentage and a 2.45 goals-against average, with 1 shutout on 1,140 shots faced.

Twenty-eight shots a night. Boston allowed 2.126 expected goals against per 60 at even strength — the lowest rate in the league — and took 56.2 per cent of the chances at five-on-five, 2nd. This is the most forgiving crease in hockey.

And the club’s goaltending still finished 11.4 goals worse than the chances it faced, 22nd in the league. Two goaltenders at .9167 and .9136 look perfectly respectable until they are measured against what they were actually facing, and against that, Boston’s crease was below average.

At five-on-five the club conceded 144 goals against an expectation of 132.6. That gap is the single clearest weakness on a team that finished 4th in goals against.

The Physical Game

6-4 and 223, and he handles the puck better than most goaltenders his size — a genuine third defenceman on a retrieval, which matters more behind a club that wants to leave its own end quickly.

He is a big, upright, positional goaltender who covers the net by being in front of it rather than by reaching. The lateral recovery is the ordinary part, and on 28 shots a night it is not tested often.

The Mental Game

Twenty-six wins in 41 games in a first season in Boston, after six in Buffalo — where his career line was built behind a club that conceded chances at nearly twice the rate.

There is a version of this where the .9167 is simply the same goaltender in better circumstances, and the measured record supports it: his career save percentage across 158 games is .9134, which is close enough to last season’s to suggest the environment did the moving.

The Intangibles

One hundred and sixty-third overall in 2012 by Buffalo, six seasons there, and a four-year contract in Boston signed at twenty-eight.

He is 29, sharing a net with a twenty-three-year-old who posted almost the same save percentage on almost the same number of games. Boston is paying starter money for a tandem, and the question the 11.4 asks is whether either half of it is good enough for a club whose defence is this good.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • puck-handlinga strength· starts the breakout himself

    “6-4 and 223, and he handles the puck better than most goaltenders his size”