Kyle Capobianco

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

45 games for Arizona, 2 goals and 7 assists at 16:00 a night, minus-12, thirty-eight penalty minutes, 40 shots, one power-play goal and one game-winner. Sixty-third overall in 2015 by Arizona — the third round — five seasons, 59 games, 10 points.

The Finesse Game

41.4 per cent of the expected goals is the 6th-lowest of all 202 defencemen who played forty games, and 44.0 per cent of the attempts the 7th percentile.

Arizona finished 32nd in the league in both attempt share and chance share and conceded 313 goals, which is most of it and is not all of it: he started 50.4 per cent of his end-zone shifts in the attacking end, an even chair, and came out thirteen points beneath it.

Two goals from forty shots is 5.0 per cent on 3.33 shots per 60, the 22nd percentile, from a 46-foot median — but twenty per cent of his attempts came from inside twenty feet, the 95th percentile among defencemen, which is the one genuinely distinctive thing in the file.

0.61 even-strength points per 60 is the 14th percentile.

2.58 giveaways per 60 is the 90th percentile.

His ice went 27-38 against an expectation of 24.27-34.33 — nearly three ahead in front and almost four more against.

The Physical Game

1.50 penalties taken per 60 is the 8th-most of all 202 defencemen against 0.50 drawn, which is a net of minus 1.00 — the 4th-worst at the position.

Only Ian Cole, Zach Bogosian and Niko Mikkola were worse, and thirty-eight penalty minutes came out of forty-five games.

3.58 hits per 60 is the 45th percentile and 3.83 blocks the 41st, at 6-3 and 194 pounds, against eight seconds a night short-handed.

The Intangibles

21.6 mph is the 32nd percentile among the 192 tracked defencemen, 1.1 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 the 35th and 8.68 miles per 60 the 75th. His shot is 89.3 mph, the 13th percentile — the softest on this blue line by four and a half miles an hour.

He is 25, a third-round pick, with ten points in fifty-nine games across five seasons — fifty-nine games in five years is the number the file turns on.

The slot share and the mileage are two small positives. A 6th-percentile chance share and the 4th-worst penalty differential at the position are what a seventh defenceman’s record looks like, and Arizona explains a great deal of the first without touching the second.