Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

62

Kevin Labanc

Columbus Blue Jackets Right Wing

Thirty-eight point six per cent of the expected goals — the second percentile, and the worst mark on this roster.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17SJS5581220+9220027011.413:41
2017-18SJS77112940-6324031567.014:21
2018-19SJS82173956-13620413013.114:01
2019-20SJS70141933-33383031768.016:04
2020-21SJS55121628-9310021289.416:25
2021-22SJS21336-46201368.313:17
2022-23SJS72151833-173620012911.614:20
2023-24SJS46279-2716000603.311:37
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—47882143225-88217130158859.314:24

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

2 goals and 7 assists in 46 games for San Jose — 9 points at 11:37 a night, minus-27, on 60 shots at 3.33 per cent, and 16 penalty minutes.

38.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 496 minutes, the 2nd percentile — the worst mark on this roster by a distance. His ice went 9-36 against an expectation of 15.96-25.39 — four goals of scoring missing and ten conceded above expectation, in under five hundred minutes.

It was the worst season of a career that once produced 56 points.

The Finesse Game

60 attempts at a median of 35 feet, with 38 per cent from beyond 40 and 26 per cent from inside 20, converting at 3.33 per cent against a career 9.27.

143 career assists against 82 goals in 478 games — the passing has always been the better half, and he holds the puck and looks for the seam rather than shooting.

Two goals in forty-six games is not a shooting slump so much as a player no longer being given the ice where goals happen.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 185. He does not forecheck with force, he does not win pucks on the wall, and he avoids contact.

16 penalty minutes in 46 games and 217 in 478 for his career. He does not agitate and he does not retaliate.

The Intangibles

A hundred and seventy-first overall in 2014 — a sixth-round pick — out of Barrie, and 478 games and 225 points at 28 with a career minus-88, all of it in San Jose.

He was signed here in the summer. A sixth-round pick who plays 478 NHL games and scores 225 points has already beaten his draft position by a distance, and the second percentile of expected goals on the thirty-second-place club is where that career has arrived.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    38.1% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 99th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “**143 career assists against 82 goals in 478 games** — the passing has always been the better half, and he holds the puck and looks for the seam rather than shooting.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “**He does not forecheck with force, he does not win pucks on the wall, and he avoids contact.**”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “**He does not forecheck with force, he does not win pucks on the wall, and he avoids contact.**”

  • agitatorhe lacks it· gets under the skin; draws the retaliation

    “He does not agitate and he does not retaliate.”

  • retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “He does not agitate and he does not retaliate.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 496 minutes

Expected goals
38.6%
2nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.7%
26th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 9 for, 36 against. Expected: 16.0 and 25.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
4th
Numbers
2nd

The two rank him within 2 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 54 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 46 games

Top speed
21.7 mph
25th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
1.09 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.87 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
84.7 mph
36th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with SJS · 496 minutes at five-on-five

  • Ryan Carpenteroff the roster28%
  • Filip Zadinaoff the roster28%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
SJS took 40.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 38.6% — 2.2 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 496 minutes at five-on-five — 17th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Mario Ferraro39.6%38.0%43.9%
Kyle Burroughs33.9%41.1%45.4%
Ryan Carpenter46.1%35.2%45.9%

39.6% together, 38.0% for him apart and 43.9% for Ferraro apart. Ferraro was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

84 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 21 feet. 26% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 38% from beyond forty.