Armchair Hockey Scout Beta
44

Joshua Brown

Edmonton Oilers Defense

Six foot five, 296 career penalty minutes in 290 games, and the eighth percentile of chances.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19FLA37112-328000283.613:18
2019-20FLA56358+139001486.313:25
2020-21OTT26011-13000080.014:08
2021-22OTT/BOS52066-737000450.014:13
2022-23ARI68437-1887000685.915:46
2023-24ARI513710+275001446.814:45
2024-25 so far
Career290112334-262960022414.614:24

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

51 games in Arizona, 3 goals and 7 assists for 10 points, 75 penalty minutes, 14:45 a night and plus-2. He took 41.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 657 minutes, the 8th percentile, and his ice went 33-33 against an expectation of 24.09-33.42, all of it with the Coyotes.

Nine goals above expectation at one end, which is the only flattering number on his page and is not his doing. The 8th percentile is the second-worst chance share of anybody on this roster.

The Finesse Game

44 shots at a median of 47 feet with 70 per cent from beyond 40. Eleven goals in 290 career games.

23 career assists in 290 games. He does not carry the puck, does not make a second pass, and gets rid of it quickly because holding it is worse.

The Physical Game

He is 6-5 and 220 and clears the front of his own net by moving people out of it.

75 penalty minutes in 51 games is a rate of nearly one and a half a game, and 296 in 290 career games says it is not an aberration. He will fight, he takes liberties after the whistle, and he is hard to move anywhere near the crease.

The Intangibles

A sixth-round pick in 2013 out of London, six seasons across four clubs, and 34 points in 290 games. He is a seventh defenceman who has been asked to be a sixth for most of his career.

The size is real and the chance share is real and the second one decides how often he plays. On a club with two elite defencemen and no toughness on the blue line behind them, he will dress more than the numbers deserve.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 657 minutes

Expected goals
41.9%
9th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
41%
3rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 33 for, 33 against. Expected: 24.1 and 33.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
10th
Numbers
9th

The two rank him within 1 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 316 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 55 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with ARI · 657 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
ARI took 48.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 41.9% — 7.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
657 minutes at five-on-five — 29th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Logan Cooley35.6%44.4%51.9%
Travis Dermott41.8%41.9%46.2%
Matias Maccelli50.1%38.7%51.2%

35.6% together, 44.4% for him apart and 51.9% for Cooley apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

50 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 35 feet. 8% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 70% from beyond forty.