Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Alex Tuch

Photo by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0

Alex Tuch

Washington Capitals Right Wing #89

6-4, 33 goals, and plus 24.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17MIN6000-3000080.010:42
2017-18VGK78152237+3274041718.815:15
2018-19VGK74203252+13830618011.116:44
2019-20VGK428917-108302988.214:37
2020-21VGK55181533+162820314212.716:50
2021-22BUF50122638-3142101398.618:25
2022-23BUF74364379+142081921816.519:09
2023-24BUF75223759+95421719211.519:30
2024-25BUF82363167+164736419618.419:15
2025-26BUF79333366+245773219516.919:00
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—615200248448+79263341237153913.017:45

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

33 goals and 33 assists in 79 games — 66 points, plus-24, at 19:00 a night with 7 power-play goals and 57 penalty minutes. His 5-on-5 work was done in Buffalo.

His 615th career game and his 448th point. 200 career goals.

The Finesse Game

323 unblocked attempts, 34 goals, median 28 feet with 39 per cent from inside 20.

That is high volume, fair ice, and a good conversion — and 33 goals is a career high for a player who has now scored 25 or more 4 times.

33 assists is a genuine second-line playmaking rate.

The Physical Game

6-4 and 219 pounds, and quick for the size — he is among the faster big forwards in the league and it is the whole reason the shot chart looks like it does. 57 penalty minutes.

He forechecks with weight, wins the wall, and goes to the net.

The Intangibles

52.6 per cent of the expected goals, 74th percentile, and 51.3 per cent of the shot attempts, 69th, across 1,153 minutes in Buffalo, with the chances essentially level at 51.0 and 45.9.

He is 30, an 18th overall pick, and joins a Washington top 6 that already has Tuch’s exact profile in Tom Wilson and Aliaksei Protas. 3 forwards of 6-4 or better who can all score 25 is an unusual thing to own, and in a 7-game series it is the right unusual thing.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    79 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,153 minutes

Expected goals
52.6%
75th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.3%
69th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 65 for, 41 against. Expected: 51.0 and 45.9.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
95th
Numbers
75th

The report ranks him 20 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 82 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 79 games

Top speed
22.8 mph
77th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.73 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.97 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
89.3 mph
80th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

7

points in his last 10 games — 4 goals, 3 assists, 26 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 with BUF · 1153 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
BUF took 51.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.6% — 1.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,153 minutes at five-on-five — 78th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Tage Thompson51.2%54.3%49.8%
Bowen Byram50.9%53.8%48.5%
Owen Power55.6%50.7%48.1%

51.2% together, 54.3% for him apart and 49.8% for Thompson apart. He was better away from Thompson, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Thompson.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

323 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 34 of them goals. His median goal came from 14 feet. 39% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.