Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2023-24 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2023-24 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

31

Jonas Johansson

Tampa Bay Lightning Goaltender

Six-foot-five, thirty-five NHL games across four seasons and three clubs, and an .8871 in them.

SeasonTeamGPWLOTLGAGAASOSASV%
2019-20BUF6131162.940151.894
2020-21BUF/COL15562392.861380.897
2021-22COL/FLA11341384.690264.856
2022-23COL320052.10073.931
2023-24 so far——————————
Career—3511134983.321868.887

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

2-0-0 in 3 games, .9315, 2.10, no shutouts on 73 shots for Colorado.

Seventy-three shots is three nights’ work and the .9315 should be read as such.

Four seasons, 35 games, a career .8871 on 868 shots.

The Finesse Game

6-5 and 220 pounds, and the game is the one that size implies: he takes the net away standing and does not challenge.

He plays deep in his crease, and the recurring problem is the same one every goaltender of that build has — the puck goes across and the recovery is a half-beat late.

The rebound control is ordinary and the puck-handling is not an asset.

The four seasons read .8940 on 151 shots, .8974 on 380, .8561 on 264 and .9315 on 73. Eight hundred and sixty-eight shots across four seasons and three clubs, and the only figure with any weight behind it is the .8974.

An .8871 career save percentage is a poor number and the sample is small enough that it is not yet a verdict. What it is, is nine hundred shots of below-average evidence and nothing to set against it.

The Intangibles

Sixty-first overall in 2014, the third round, four seasons, 35 games across Buffalo, Colorado and Florida.

He is twenty-seven and has never had a run of ten consecutive NHL starts.

On a club whose starter has played sixty games in three of the last six seasons and carries four deep playoff runs behind him, the backup job is worth more than it usually is. That is the whole case for this file.

The alternative reading is that a club with the best goaltender in the league has never needed to think hard about the position behind him, and has not started now.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • plays-deepa strength· takes the net away by occupying it

    “He plays deep in his crease, and the recurring problem is the same one every goaltender of that build has — the puck goes across and the recovery is a half-beat late.”

  • puck-handlinghe lacks it· starts the breakout himself

    “The rebound control is ordinary and the puck-handling is not an asset.”