Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

1

Jeremy Swayman

Boston Bruins Goaltender

An .8922 across 58 games after a contract dispute cost him a training camp, and the worst season of his career by a distance.

SeasonTeamGPWLOTLGAGAASOSASV%
2020-21BOS10730151.502271.945
2021-22BOS4123143962.4131111.914
2022-23BOS372464762.274953.920
2023-24BOS44251081082.5331287.916
2024-25BOS58222971763.1141632.892
2025-26 so far——————————
Career—19010162224712.58165254.910

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

22-29-7 in 58 games, .8922 with a 3.11 average and 4 shutouts on 1,632 shots.

He had stopped .916 or better in each of his first four seasons. This one came in 5.3 goals worse than the chances faced, 20th in the league, on a club that was 18th at suppressing them — so neither the goaltender nor the defence was good, and the goaltender had been the reason the previous three seasons worked.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 195, and the game is athletic and reactive rather than positional. He is quick, he tracks well through traffic, and he makes saves in sequence better than almost anyone at his best.

What went wrong last season looks technical rather than physical: he was deeper in the net than he had been, square less often, and the rebound control was worse. That is the profile of a goaltender who has not had a normal preparation.

The Mental Game

He missed the entire training camp in a contract dispute that became public and unpleasant, then signed a large deal and played the worst season of his life on a club that traded its captain at the deadline.

How much of the .8922 is that is unanswerable and it is the only question about him that matters. There is no record before last season of him being fragile, and a considerable record of the opposite.

The Intangibles

At 26, on one of the largest goaltending contracts in the league, coming off a season that would have got a lesser-paid goaltender waived.

The club has no alternative and does not need one if the previous four seasons were the truth. The reason to believe they were: he faced 1,632 shots behind a defence corps whose best chance share was the 58th percentile, from a man who played 50 games. The reason to worry: 58 games is not a small sample.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • tracks-traffica strength· finds it through a screen

    “He is quick, he tracks well through traffic, and he makes saves in sequence better than almost anyone at his best.”

  • plays-deephe lacks it· takes the net away by occupying it

    “he was deeper in the net than he had been”

  • rebound-controlhe lacks it· where the second chance ends up

    “the rebound control was worse”