Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

1

Jeremy Swayman

Boston Bruins Goaltender

A .9136 in 41 games at twenty-three, and a career .9197 across 51 — half of the most evenly split net in hockey.

SeasonTeamGPWLOTLGAGAASOSASV%
2020-21BOS10730151.502271.945
2021-22BOS4123143962.4131111.914
2022-23 so far——————————
Career—51301731112.2351382.920

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

41 games, 23-14-3, a .9136 save percentage and a 2.41 goals-against average, with 3 shutouts on 1,111 shots faced.

Exactly 41 games each, for him and Linus Ullmark. No club in hockey split a net more evenly, and it was deliberate.

Twenty-seven shots a night, behind a defence that allowed 2.126 expected goals against per 60 at even strength, the lowest rate in the league.

Boston’s goaltending finished 11.4 goals below the chances it faced, 22nd. A .9136 in front of the best chance suppression in hockey is not the number it looks like, and that is the honest frame for a twenty-three-year-old’s second season.

His career line is a .9197 across 51 games, which is better than last season and built on a smaller sample.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 195. He plays a compact, square game and does not chase the puck across his crease — an economical goaltender rather than an athletic one, which is unusual in a man this young.

The rebound control is the developing part. Behind Boston’s structure the second chance rarely arrives; on a club that gave up more of them, it would be the thing to watch.

The Mental Game

Twenty-three years old, 51 NHL games, and a .9197 across them. He has never had a bad month at this level and has also never had to carry a month on his own.

The split is the interesting thing about the situation. A young goaltender who is never asked for four starts in a week is protected and is also never tested, and Boston has now spent a full season declining to find out which of its two goaltenders is the better one.

The Intangibles

One hundred and eleventh overall in 2017, out of Maine, a Mike Richter Award as the best goaltender in college hockey, and an NHL debut at twenty-two.

He is 23, and the cheaper half of a tandem the club is paying starter money twice over for. The measured record cannot separate him from Ullmark and the club has not tried, and at some point in the next two seasons one of them is going to be traded so that the other can be found out.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • plays-deepa strength· takes the net away by occupying it

    “He plays a compact, square game and does not chase the puck across his crease”