Jake McCabe

723 games, 22 and a half minutes, and the 7th percentile.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2013-14	BUF	7	0	1	1	-3	15	0	0	0	1	0.0	15:13
2014-15	BUF	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.0	11:08
2015-16	BUF	77	4	10	14	+6	51	0	0	0	62	6.5	19:07
2016-17	BUF	76	3	17	20	-7	26	1	0	1	79	3.8	20:42
2017-18	BUF	53	3	9	12	-11	26	1	0	0	53	5.7	19:30
2018-19	BUF	59	4	10	14	-4	35	0	1	0	64	6.3	18:57
2019-20	BUF	66	3	10	13	-11	41	0	1	1	75	4.0	18:32
2020-21	BUF	13	1	2	3	+2	9	0	0	0	15	6.7	19:11
2021-22	CHI	75	4	18	22	-27	33	0	0	0	80	5.0	20:18
2022-23	CHI/TOR	76	3	22	25	+19	56	0	0	1	96	3.1	19:29
2023-24	TOR	73	8	20	28	+20	56	1	0	3	73	11.0	20:39
2024-25	TOR	66	2	21	23	+23	40	0	0	0	74	2.7	21:31
2025-26	TOR	80	5	20	25	+3	64	0	0	0	77	6.5	22:24
2026-27 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	723	40	160	200	+10	452	3	2	6	751	5.3	20:05

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

5 goals and 20 assists in 80 games — 25 points, plus-3, at 22:24 a night with 64 penalty minutes.

His 723rd career game.

The Finesse Game

115 unblocked attempts from a median of 48 feet, 5 goals. 40 goals in 723 career games.

20 assists in 80 games is a fair return for a defensive defenceman and rather more than the position usually gives him credit for.

The Physical Game

6-1, 210, and he plays a genuinely hard, punishing game — he finishes checks, blocks shots, and defends the front of his net properly. 64 penalty minutes.

The skating is honest and he is beaten wide by real speed, which at 22 minutes a night against top lines happens often.

The Intangibles

46.7 per cent of the expected goals, 25th percentile, and 44.1 per cent of the shot attempts, 8th percentile, across 1,482 minutes — the heaviest workload on the club — with the chances 56.9 for and 65.1 against.

The goals came out level at 63-71, and the plus-3 is the only positive figure among Toronto’s regular defencemen.

5 points in his last 10, 2 of them goals. He is 32, and he is being asked to play first-pair minutes on a club that finished 44.8 per cent in attempts. Nobody survives that assignment with a good number, and he did not.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

hard-shot· beats a goaltender from range
4 of 70 attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 5.7%, 97th percentile among defencemen
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.21) · 16% keep it
durable· was available
80 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best
35% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 2nd percentile among defencemen
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,482 minutes

Expected goals: 46.7%; 26th pct
Shot attempts: 44.1%; 8th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 63 for, 71 against. Expected: 56.9 and 65.1.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted

Report

38th

Numbers

26th

The two rank him within 12 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 80 games

Top speed: 22.7 mph; 86th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 0.78 a game
Distance: 3.16 miles a game
Hardest shot: 91.2 mph; 54th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

points in his last 10 games — 2 goals, 3 assists, 15 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1482 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club: TOR took 46.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.7% — 0.4 above the club he did it on.
The role: Second pair, 1,482 minutes at five-on-five — 96th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Max Domi	49.0%	45.6%	41.8%
Matthew Knies	43.7%	47.9%	44.9%
Auston Matthews	48.9%	45.8%	47.2%

49.0% together, 45.6% for him apart and 41.8% for Domi apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

115 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 60 feet. 12% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 61% from beyond forty.